World Wide Technology Championship Odds Preview

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World Wide Technology Championship Odds Preview

Setting the scene

Viktor Hovland will look to defend his title when the 2021 World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba gets underway on Thursday at El Camaleón Golf Course in Mexico. With a 20-under par play in 2020, Hovland won his second PGA Tour title. In the 2021 World Wide Technology Championship lineup, he’ll have stiff competition from Justin Thomas, Brooks Koepka, Tony Finau, and Sergio Garcia. They are all prepared to tee it up this week.

Hovland, who had won his first PGA Tour victory in Puerto Rico before the pandemic, was 23 at the time, making him only the third 20-something winner of the event’s 14th year (there have been three 40-something winners since Fred Funk won the first edition at the age of 50). Hovland was likewise seven strokes back at the midway mark, a deficit which had never been overcome before.

Many of golf’s top players will return to Mayakoba this week for the World Wide Technology Championship. Although it is still early in the 2021-2022 season, the stars are starting to plan their schedules for the fall.

Betting Angles

Tee Not the Key

I don’t have any statistics for the first event, but the 13 winners since then have an average Driving Distance ranking of 34.38 and an average Driving Accuracy ranking of 31.07. So, stats-wise, what you do off the tee isn’t that important, but I’d slightly prefer accuracy over length. Last year’s winner, Brendon Todd, was eighth for DD and 12th for DA off the tee, while this year’s winner, Hovland, was only 79th for DD and 25th for DA, and there are a few holes where an inaccurate drive might spell disaster.

The last three champions have topped the Par 4 Scoring numbers, and in 2017, Patton Kizzire and Rickie Fowler, who finished first and second, were ranked first and second. In addition, every winner has finished in the top seven in Par 4 Scoring.

Course Correlation

There are nearly too many incredibly strong course correlations to consider here! The Trump International Golf Club in Puerto Rico, which organizes the Puerto Rico Open, and the Corales Golf Club in the Dominican Republic, which hosts the Corales Puntacana Championship, are the only other PGA Tour courses that now employ Paspalum grass. Danny Lee, the 2018 runner-up, finished second in Puerto Rico, Johnson Wagner, the 2011 champion, was second in Puerto Rico in 2019, and Hovland has now won in both venues.

The Corales Puntacana Championship has only been a PGA Tour event for four years, but Graeme McDowell, the 2015 winner, won the CPC in 2019, 12 months after Brice Garnett, who finished fifth three years ago, won the first edition on the PGA Tour. Joel Dahmen, this year’s CPC winner, finished sixth here two years ago.

Experience

Although Hovland lowered the average age of the winners last year when he won at the age of just 23, the average age of the winners is still 34. Only John Huh, who was 21 when he won in 2012, and Harris English, who was 24 when he won in 2013, were under 30 when they won. On the other hand, like the 2016 winner, Perez, Kuchar was 40 years old in 2018, proving that age is no barrier.

In-Play

Except for Pat Perez six years ago, every victor has started the tournament with a round in the 60s and has finished in the top 10 at halfway. Except for Perez and Hovland, who were separated by seven shots in a tie for ninth, every winner was within four shots at the halfway point.

Horses for courses

El Camaleon is a short par 70 course in Playa del Carmen, Mexico, near Cancun. Mangrove woods protect fairways that have been widened artificially by the typically mild, tropical conditions that run through the Seashore Paspalum greens, which are slow and receptive. As a result, those who avoid expensive mistakes off the tee can go to work with their shorter clubs and threaten to break 60 unless the wind blows.

Courses like this one, which stretches 12 hours west to Waialae, home of the Sony Open, as well as those that host the RBC Heritage, RSM Classic, and Bermuda Championship, often favor experience, accuracy, and the skills that some say are lost in a sport where the powerful Lucas Herbert defied similar trends last week.

The point isn’t that players like him shouldn’t win these tournaments; rather, their seniors and those with less explosive games have less of a void to fill than they could elsewhere. That is still the case. It’s a contest between Tony Finau and Brian Gay here, and that’s what you should be thinking about.

Where’s the money?

Let’s now look at the betting for the week ahead:

Justin Thomas 14-1
Viktor Hovland 18-1
Abraham Ancer 22-1
Tony Finau 25-1
Billy Herschel 30-1
Brooks Koepka 30-1
Scottie Scheffler 30-1
Tyrrell Hatton 30-1
Aaron Wise 33-1
Shane Lowry 35-1
Patrick Reed 35-1
Cameron Tringale 35-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 35-1
Will Zalatoris 35-1
Talor Gooch 40-1
Matthew Wolff 40-1
Sergio Garcia 40-1
Rickie Fowler 45-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 50-1
Alex Noren 50-1
Maverick McNealy 50-1
Joaquin Niemann 50-1
Justin Rose 50-1
Russell Henley 50-1
Mito Pereira 50-1
Seamus Power 55-1
Keegan Bradley 55-1
Gary Woodland 60-1
Charley Hoffman 66-1
Jhonattan Vegas 66-1
Harold Varner 66-1
Lucas Herbert 66-1
Patrick Rodgers 70-1
Kevin Streelman 70-1
Emiliano Grillo 80-1
Carlos Ortiz 80-1
Brian Harman 80-1
Russell Knox 80-1
Luke List 80-1
C.T. Pan 80-1
Ian Poulter 80-1
Matt Kuchar 80-1
Brendon Todd 80-1
Taylor Pendrith 90-1
Brendan Steele 90-1
Joel Dahmen 90-1
Scott Stallings 90-1
Henrik Stenson 90-1
Matt Jones 100-1
Ryan Palmer 100-1
Danny Willett 100-1
Patton Kizzire 100-1
Guido Migliozzi 100-1
Henrik Norlander 100-1
Adam Schenk 100-1
Pat Perez 100-1
Chez Reavie 100-1
Adam Long 100-1
Chris Kirk 100-1
Adam Hadwin 100-1
Tom Hoge 125-1
Keith Mitchell 125-1
Garrick Higgo 125-1
Scott Piercy 125-1
Thomas Detry 125-1
Dylan Frittelli 125-1
Rory Sabbatini 125-1
Vincent Whaley 125-1
Stephan Jaeger 125-1
Danny Lee 125-1
Charles Howell 125-1
Hank Lebioda 150-1
Joseph Bramlett 150-1
Sam Ryder 150-1
Francesco Molinari 150-1
Graeme McDowell 150-1
Kyle Stanley 150-1
Troy Merritt 150-1
Peter Malnati 150-1
Ryan Moore 150-1
Martin Laird 150-1
Brice Garnett 150-1
Aaron Rai 150-1
Brian Stuard 150-1
Doug Ghim 150-1
Charl Schwartzel 175-1
Greyson Sigg 200-1
Kramer Hickok 200-1
Jimmy Walker 200-1
Davis Riley 200-1
J.T. Poston 200-1
Nick Taylor 200-1
Adam Svensson 200-1
James Hahn 200-1
Hudson Swafford 200-1
Andrew Putnam 200-1
Denny McCarthy 200-1
Nick Watney 200-1
Nate Lashley 200-1
Zach Johnson 200-1
Brandt Snedeker 200-1
Roger Sloan 200-1
Trey Mullinax 200-1

About the author:

Freelance Sports Writer | + posts

Hey Guys

My name is Dean, AKA The Stat Man. I am a Sports Betting Analyst who uses math, algorithms, probability and logic to create my posts. I specialize in many sports, with Golf being the primary focus. You can find a lot of my work on various websites but the best content is found here on Beer Life.

I live in the UK, on the outskirts of London but my background and heritage is Irish. I'm an avid Manchester United fan who sees following them as a religion. Sport is pretty much my life, as I live and breathe it daily. If there is something I don't know it's probably not worth knowing as I have over 20 years industry experience and insight.

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As always, believe in the power of statistics!

 

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