The Bermuda Triangle
Our trio of players appeared to fall into the Bermuda triangle this week and disappeared down the leader. The biggest disappointment was Hossler, who had a dreadful weekend and missed the cut. Both Pereira and Schwab looked set for respectable finishes going into the final round. However, neither could muster up any magic on the last day and finished down in 30th and 51st.
Our attention turns to Mayakoba this week for the World Wide Technology Championship, as we look to bounce back from a disappointing couple of weeks. We will begin, as always, by taking a look at the history of the tournament as we start to build this week’s BeerLife profile.
The World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba is taking place this week on the beautiful Mexican coast. Let’s take a look at this PGA Tour tournament through the lens of fantasy golf. In 2007, the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba made golf history by being the first PGA TOUR event held outside of the United States or Canada. Professionals and spectators alike consider the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba one of the best on the PGA TOUR today. Mayakoba is establishing a solid heritage and a great history with the World Wide Technology Championship.
Since 2013, when the tournament was changed from its original February date to the fall in North America, the average winning score has been 264.25. For all eight installments, this translates to an average winning under-par total of 19.75. Viktor Hovland would win his second PGA TOUR victory here a year ago, capping off an already remarkable young career, and closing rounds of 63 and 65 would ensure the Norwegian remained exceedingly tricky to beat. Even though Aaron Wise finished with a 63 and Adam Long shot the same number on Saturday, Hovland’s steady play – which included a vital birdie at the 72nd hole – cemented his place as one of the game’s most promising young talents.
Let’s turn our attention to the form of the previous five winners, analyze their rounds and see if we can find some crucial links to begin our BeerLife profile.
2021 Viktor Hovland – 264 – Form 15/47/12/13
2020 Brendon Todd – 264 – Form 1/28/CUT/CUT
2019 Matt Kuchar – 262 – Form 57/43/60/CUT
2018 Patton Kizzire – 265 – Form 4/10/23/CUT
2017 Pat Perez – 263 – Form 7/33/CUT/CUT
El Camaleon is a fiddly coastal track that favors supreme wind players. It’s short and windy. El Camaleon’s Par 71 course measures 6,987 yards and has movable tee boxes depending on the severity of the wind. With a tailwind, the course can play short and features three different types of landscape: seaside, mangrove, and jungle. It is, without a doubt, one of the most unusual layouts available. Nonetheless, birdies are the focus on this Greg Norman-designed course, and there are plenty of them to be had, with four of the last five champions shooting -20 or below.
While not to everyone’s taste, the sluggish and gritty Paspalum greens are usually thought to be easier to putt on than the super-pure and fast Bentgrass greens. This week, the weather will play a part, with around half of the holes exposed to the elements.
However, the weather looks decent this week, and winds shouldn’t play too much of a part. Therefore, expect some very low-scoring rounds.
The 2021 World Wide Technology Championship will be held at El Camaleon in Playa del Carmen this week, and an elite field will compete. Viktor Hovland, the defending champion, is one of the top-32 players in the world who will be competing this week. The field is highlighted by World No. 7 Justin Thomas, who is favored in the odds announced on Monday morning. Brooks Koepka and Tony Finau, making only his second appearance this fall, are following Thomas on the odds board.
Harris English, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Sergio Garcia, Tyrrell Hatton, Shane Lowry, and Scottie Scheffler are among the 2021 Ryder Cup players at Mayakoba this week. Matthew Wolff and Will Zalatoris, TOUR rookies, will join them.
We run each player in the field through our BeerLife profile analysis to come up with our selections. This is what we are looking for this week:
Children Showing The Way – Two of the previous five winners finished inside the top seven at the Shriners Children’s Open before claiming victory here.
Shriners Children’s Open 2022
- Sungjae Im
- Matthew Wolff
- Marc Leishman
- Rory Sabbatini
- Adam Schenk
- Lanto Griffin
- Adam Hadwin
Slow Surfaces – These slow, Paspalum grass greens are certainly not to everyone’s liking, so it’s wise to find players with form on these greens. Two events that use them are the Corales Puntacana and the Puerto Rico Open.
Corales Puntacana Championship 2021
- Joel Dahmen
- Rafael Campos
- Sam Ryder
- Michael Gligic
- Graeme McDowell
Puerto Rico Open 2021
- Branden Grace
- Jhonattan Vegas
- Rafael Campos
- Grayson Murray
- Brice Garnett
- Andrew Putnam
Birdie Boom – As already mentioned, this week is all about shooting seriously low scores, and we need to find players who are comfortable converting many birdie opportunities.
- Justin Thomas
- Cameron Smith
- Sam Burns
- Marc Leishman
- Rory McIlroy
Straight & Steady – As with all coastal courses, driving accuracy is vital as the winds (however mild) can turn in an instance.
Driving Accuracy Percentage
- Russell Henley
- Abraham Ancer
- Graeme McDowell
- Kyle Wilshire
- Louis Oosthuizen
After looking at the above data and running the field through our Beerlife profile builder, we have selected the following picks.
Must-Have Players – These are the players you need to have in your lineup regardless of the price.
|Odds To Win +1100|
|JT is a birdie machine, and he could easily blitz this course and run away with the title. The world number seven has only played once on Tour this season, and he placed a respectable 18th at the CJ Cup. By the final day, Thomas appeared to have his arms warmed up as he shot a 64, which is ominous for the rest of the field this week. He will be looking to build on his 12th place finish here last year, and you certainly wouldn’t bet against him doing so.|
Steady Eddies – These guys should give a good account of themselves and are good additions to your lineup.
|Odds To Win +4500|
|Russell Henley has started this season off steadily by placing 21st at the Shriners and 25th at the CJ Cup. This epitomizes Henley, as he is as steady as they come. This approach will help him off the tee this week and should present many birdie scoring opportunities. His course form is a slight concern, but he appears to be on top of his game at present, and I am a firm believer in having someone like Henley in your fantasy team. Someone that will chip away and keep your points total rolling over.|
Long Shots – These gentlemen will complete a lineup if you’re on a budget but could spring one of two surprises.
|Odds To Win +10000|
|Joel Dahmen is another steady player who is on the brink of the top 100 in the world, and a good week here would see him break into the world’s elite. Joel should like the conditions this week, and he will be looking to build on last season’s 20th place finish. He came sixth here in 2020 and has never failed to make the cut, making him an attractive proposition this week. While his driving accuracy would usually be a concern, it doesn’t appear to have affected him in the past, perhaps because he has a good short game and is reliable with the putter.|
|Odds To Win +20000|
|I am amazed at the odds for the Northern Irishman, especially after his showing last week at the Bermuda Championship. Despite his very up and down form here over the previous few years, he is a prior winner of this tournament, having won back in 2016. His driving can also be hit and miss, but he could make some waves here if he’s on it this week. McDowell’s short game is much the same, erratic, but if everything comes together, he has the experience to go close.|