We don’t have the same min and near min-priced glaring value at wide receiver that we did in week one, so our constructions may look a bit different this week. We do still have some solid cheap value in good game environments if looking to pay down. Some of the best point-per-dollar options at WR and RB live in the mid-range this week, which could lead to more balanced builds being optimal. Let’s take a look at some of the top WRs in each tier for week two.
Top Ceiling Wide Receivers
DK Metcalf And Tyler Lockett
The Seahawks/Titans game has the second-highest total on the slate yet may garner lower ownership than it should due to the masses flocking to the Dallas/San Diego shootout. Seattle is favored by five in a game with a 54 point total.
One of Metcalf or Lockett looks set to eat here, but it is always a chore trying to figure out which. Since there seems to be little rhyme or reason to it, it often makes sense to go wherever the field is not. As of now, ownership projections throughout the industry look fairly even on both. However, due to recency bias and game-log watching, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Lockett gain more ownership due to him being the guy in week one.
I’d keep in mind that they were equal in target share, and DK actually saw the field more than Lockett. The fantasy score differential in week one should not imply that Lockett has any advantage over Metcalf going forward.
The two tend to not correlate well together based on past performance, so playing both is likely not the way to go at their prices since we need ceiling performances to win tournaments.
Amari Cooper And CeeDee Lamb
This is an interesting slate in that Amari Cooper is among the highest raw ceiling fantasy point WRs on the slate, the highest in some models. Yet, he is priced very affordably on DK at just $6800. He qualifies as both a top ceiling and a close to mid-range value play on this slate. With a ceiling approaching 30 DKP in what projects to be the shootout of the week, Cooper is an incredible play this week.
CeeDee Lamb is right there with him with a similar ceiling in the mid-to-high 20s on DK. While they are priced about the same on DK, Lamb comes with considerable savings on FD with a $1000 differential.
With Michael Gallup now on the shelf, Cooper and Lamb are set to get the bulk of the work in Dallas. The Cowboys are dogs in a high-total game and should be throwing at a hefty clip. It is almost a toss-up between Lamb and Cooper. Lamb has youth on his side, but we know what we are getting with Amari Cooper in Dallas, and with one less mouth to feed with Gallup out, it’s bombs away for Amari.
Unlike the situation in Seattle with Metcalf/Lockett, both Cooper and Lamb have real potential to reach ceilings together in Dallas at their prices, particularly on DraftKings. There isn’t any reason not to play them together, and lots of people will do just that. Their ownership should be about equal on DK, so it shouldn’t factor too much into the decision if choosing one or the other. On FanDuel, I’d lean Cooper a bit since his higher price should drive ownership down.
Keenan Allen – DraftKings – $7,000 | FanDuel – $7,400
Keenan Allen on the other side of the Dallas/San Diego shootout game is one of the top ceiling options on the slate. Allen averages over 12 targets a game with Justin Herbert under center, and this game has the highest total on the slate. Playing Allen enables you to correlate with the pass-catchers on the Dallas side of the ball for nice game stacks and mini-game stacks.
On top of everything else, the Cowboys have lost their top pass rusher in DeMarcus Lawrence to a broken foot, meaning a more open pocket for Herbert to get Allen the rock. Dallas DE Randy Gregory may also miss the game with Covid, further enhancing the San Diego passing game outlook.
San Diego was in a bad defensive matchup in week one, and Herbert and Allen were largely overlooked. This is a totally different situation and should be a return to the offensive fireworks we at times saw from the Herbert-led Chargers last season. We just witnessed the Tampa Bay passing attack carve up this Dallas secondary in week one. You can fire up Allen with confidence here.
Top Cheap Value Wide Receivers
Cedrick Wilson – DraftKings – $3,100 | FanDuel – $4,900
Unsurprisingly our two top cheap value wide receivers also come from the shootout Dallas/LAC game. Due to the injury to Michael Gallup, Cedrick Wilson is now the number three receiver in Dallas at the near minimum price on both sites.
Of course, Cooper and Lamb are the main guys in Dallas, and we can expect them to get much of the work, but a projection of seven targets for Wilson based on last week’s numbers with Gallup sidelined is perfectly feasible. At his near-minimum price, it would be easy for him to pay off his price tag, particularly on DraftKings.
We should also keep in mind that the defense will be focused on containing Cooper and Lamb, which could open up some high-value looks for Wilson. One big play, and he could absolutely explode his price tag. He especially makes sense if pairing with Dak and one of Lamb or Cooper. If you are going to go for a punt-ish value play, why not correlate it with your stack.
Jalen Guyton – DraftKings – $3,100 | FanDuel – $4,800
Guyton is another spot where we can attack the top projected shootout game of the week for some value at the near minimum price on both sites. He is a fringier play than Cedrick Wilson, and we may not expect more than five targets at most, depending on the degree of Austin Ekeler’s passing game involvement.
He is, however, a very fast WR with explosive play potential. He could easily outplay his price tag by a mile with one big play. You can tack him on to a Herbert stack with Allen rather than running Allen with Mike Williams if double-stacking and save money on your overall stack cost. He’s a great correlative value play in San Diego stacks.
Other Wide Receivers To Consider
Cooper Kupp/Robert Woods
A.J. Brown/Julio Jones
Justin Jefferson/Adam Thielen
Chris Godwin/Antonio Brown/Mike Evans
Stefon Diggs/Cole Beasley