Week 5 is in the books and it’s time to tally the Professor’s wins and losses. This article will review the Professor’s wins and losses on his Games of the Week, Best Games to Bet, and Prop Bets, as well as the grades on his Survivor Pool/DFS advice on Razor’s Red Zone and his low-cost DFS targets.
Prop Bets: 10-9, 31-27 on Season
MIN QB Kirk Cousins: Over 2.5 Pass TD, Loss
MIN WR Justin Jefferson: Over 83.5 Receiving Yards, Win, TD Scorer, Loss
MIN WR Adam Thielen: Over 62 Receiving Yards, Loss, TD Scorer, Loss
LAC QB Justin Herbert: Over 1.5 Passing TD, Win, Over 12.5 Rushing Yards, Win
LAC RB Austin Ekeler: Over 39.5 Receiving Yards, Win
LAC WR Keenan Allen: Over 75.5 Receiving Yards, Loss
LAC WR Mike Williams: Over 64.5 Receiving Yards, Win, TD Scorer, Win
LVR QB Derek Carr: Over 281.5 Passing Yards, Loss
LVR WR Hunter Renfrow: Over 48.5 Receiving Yards, Win
LVR TE Darren Waller: Over 5.5 Receptions, Loss, and Over 69.5 Receiving Yards, Loss
HOU QB Davis Mills: Under 189.5 Passing Yards, Loss
HOU WR Brandin Cooks: Under 5.5 Receptions, Win, and Under 64.5 Receiving Yards, Win
NE RB Damien Harris: TD Scorer, Win
NFL Week 5 Games of the Weekend and How to Bet Them (3-0 spreads, 2-2 props, Started WK5)
NFL Games of the Week Bet 1: BUF +2.5 or BUF ML, Win
NFL Games of the Week Bet 2: ARI -5.5, Win
NFL Games of the Week Bet 3: LAC -2, Win
NFL Games of the Week Bet 4: Aaron Rodgers over 1.5 Pass TD (Win), Under 0.5 INT (Loss), Joe Burrow over 1.5 Pass TD (Win), Under 0.5 INT (Loss)
NFL Week 5 Best Games to Bet (1-2, Started WK5)
NFL Best Games to Bet 1: CHI-LVR over 44.5, Loss
NFL Best Games to Bet 2: PHI-CAR over 45.5, Loss
NFL Best Games to Bet 3: DAL -6.5, Win
NFL Best Games to Bet 4: BAL -7, pending Monday Night
Razor’s Red Zone Grades
Survivor Pool Favorites: NE (Pass), MIN (Pass)
Survivor Pool Contrarian: Denver (Fail), Jacksonville (Fail)
Thursday Night DFS MVP: LAR QB Matthew Stafford (B)
Thursday Night Must-Have: SEA WR Tyler Lockett (C)
Thursday Night Savings: FanDuel LAR RB Sony Michel (B), DraftKings LAR WR Van Jefferson (F) or LAR WRDeSean Jackson (B)
Sunday Star QB: ARI QB Kyler Murray (D)
Sunday Savings QB: JAX QB Trevor Lawrence (B) and CIN QB Joe Burrow (B-)
Sunday Star RB: DAL RB Ezekiel Elliott (A-)
Sunday Savings RB: TB RB Leonard Fournette (A)
Sunday Star WR: MIN WR Justin Jefferson (B)
Sunday Savings WR: CIN WR Tyler Boyd (D) and GB WR Allen Lazard (F)
Low-Cost DFS Targets
QB: Trevor Lawrence (B), Joe Burrow (B-), Derek Carr (D-)
RB: Damien Harris (B), Chase Edmonds (D-), Trey Sermon (F)
WR: Laviska Shenault (D), A.J. Green (F), Randall Cobb (D)
TE: Jared Cook (D-)
Conclusion
This article reviewed The Professor’s advice on BeerLife Sports for Week 5. The Professor’s model output, game previews, cheat sheets, prop bet articles, and appearances on Razor’s RedZone are all available at BeerLife Sports.
Steven Clinton, better known as "The Professor", is a former D-1 Quality Control Assistant (Northwestern, Toledo) who holds a B.A. in Economics and M.S. in Predictive Analytics from Northwestern University. He maintains an end-to-end NFL game projection model and is a film junkie who breaks down the tape of every NFL game.
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