[Editor’s Note: our incredibly predictive Professor’s Prop Bets are available to BLS+ subscribers only. The good news is, you can sign up with “FreeTrial” code and get 1 month entirely free to try out. So you can see for yourself]
This article will highlight nine prop bets on quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends for NFL Week 16 that appear favorable based on the output of the Professor’s predictive model. The numbers and prices available are from DraftKings.
Matthew Stafford, QB, LAR: 284.5 Passing Yards, 2.5 Passing Touchdowns
Few quarterbacks are as fun to watch as Matthew Stafford when he is in the type of zone he has found over the past two weeks. His outstanding performance against Arizona did not carry right into the Seahawks game, but once Stafford got going, he lit up the Seattle defense with a variety of show-stopping throws, including a laser up the seam for a touchdown to receiver Cooper Kupp and a no-look pass on a 3rd and 7 hook route that failed to get the first, but was fun to watch regardless. Minnesota’s defense got a reprieve against a hard-luck Bears team last week, but it could be a long day against the Rams if Stafford continues to play this way.
The model has Stafford at a mean projection of 287 passing yards; I’ll take the over 284.5 at -115.
The model has Stafford at a mean projection of 2.2 passing touchdowns; I’ll take the over 2.5 at +155.
Steven Clinton, better known as "The Professor", is a former D-1 Quality Control Assistant (Northwestern, Toledo) who holds a B.A. in Economics and M.S. in Predictive Analytics from Northwestern University. He maintains an end-to-end NFL game projection model and is a film junkie who breaks down the tape of every NFL game.
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