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Recap of last weeks bets
| Market | Selection | Result |
| Top Continental Player | Jon Rahm | Lost |
| To Win | Lucas Glover | Lost |
| Top 10 Finish | Corey Conners | Lost |
| Tournament Match Bet | Matthew Fitzpatrick | Won |
Profit/Loss (This week) – Loss of $23.31 to a $10 Stake
Profit/Loss (Overall) – Loss of $475.11 to a $10 Stake
On to this week’s event.
TPC Sawgrass may not always give the kind of scoring that has become so popular with viewers in recent weeks, but it does one thing better than the rest: it asks questions. As a result, the market is wide open, with three players contending for the top spot, including the defending champion. Nobody has ever won the championship two years in a row; however, it is a rare occurrence that won’t last forever.
Justin Thomas won the 2021 PLAYERS Championship last year, becoming the 14th player on the PGA Tour to do it. Over the weekend, JT shot a 64-68, tying for the lowest final 36 holes by a champion in tournament history. He won the competition by one stroke against Englishman Lee Westwood with a score of -14 (274) in the final round.
The Players Championship, formerly known as the Tournament Players Championship, began in 1974 when Jack Nicklaus won the first of his three titles. He is still the only player to win the tournament twice, with Fred Couples, Steve Elkington, Hal Sutton, Davis Love, and Tiger Woods being the others. The Players Championship, often known as the fifth major, is one of the most renowned tournaments held throughout the year, and this is its 49th edition.
It’s a true test that doesn’t favor any one style of player, with dog-legged holes running both ways and holes routed so that no two consecutive holes ever play in the same direction. Water is in play on all but one of the holes, and that’s before you consider the wind, the strong bunkering, and the need to shape shots in both directions. In addition, the greens at Sawgrass are tiny and typically fast, emphasizing the necessity of precise approach shots.
On to our picks for this year…
To Win
Gary Woodland +8000
Gary Woodland has placed fifth before heading into the Players Championship like three of the last five winners. However, Woodland has gone one better and placed fifth twice, both in his previous two outings. He doesn’t have the best record in the event, but he did place 11th some years ago. His shot selection is one of his most significant attributes, which is undoubtedly needed around here. This has led him to have the second-highest eagle per hole ratio on Tour. He will probably need to improve his driving accuracy to win, but that certainly isn’t unachievable. Especially seen as his game appears to be coming together over the past couple of weeks.
Top 10 Finish
Will Zalatoris +450
Zalatoris is having a fantastic season, seeing him place inside the top ten on three occasions. Last year, he had four solid rounds of golf and finished in a respectable 21st position in his only appearance here. He has arguably the best approach figures on Tour this season, and if he can get his putter going, there is no reason he shouldn’t trouble the top ten. This young man is level-headed and has a big future in the game. He could make his mark in a big way by making a statement here.
Hey Guys
My name is Dean, AKA The Stat Man. I am a Sports Betting Analyst who uses math, algorithms, probability and logic to create my posts. I specialize in many sports, with Golf being the primary focus. You can find a lot of my work on various websites but the best content is found here on Beer Life.
I live in the UK, on the outskirts of London but my background and heritage is Irish. I'm an avid Manchester United fan who sees following them as a religion. Sport is pretty much my life, as I live and breathe it daily. If there is something I don't know it's probably not worth knowing as I have over 20 years industry experience and insight.
I would love to hear from my followers so drop me a message on the comments section and I will be sure to respond.
As always, believe in the power of statistics!
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