The Dynasty File: Trey Lance

The Dynasty File- Trey Lance

What to do with Trey Lance? Trey Lance, the much-ballyhooed rookie quarterback for the San Francisco 49ers, was all the rage in dynasty circles just a few short months ago. Jimmy Garoppolo snatched the 49ers’ job back for 2021, and Trey Lance is on the bench. Has Trey Lance’s value in dynasty leagues dropped? What do we take away from this when we peak towards 2022 and beyond? The answers to the questions and more as we open up The Dynasty File: Trey Lance

Trey Lance

Trey Lance has a profile so unique, I cannot find a true comparison. Let’s start with the lack of attention Trey Lance received coming out of high school. Lance was not offered a scholarship by the University of Minnesota. Instead, Lance enrolled at North Dakota State.

During his freshman season, Lance barely saw the field. It was not until his sophomore season did he explode onto the college football and NFL draft consciousness.

Trey Lance threw for 2,786 yards and 28 touchdowns to ZERO interceptions. Lance also ran for 1,100 yards and 14 additional touchdowns. If you’re keeping track at home, that is 42 touchdowns to zero interceptions!

During his junior season in 2020, Trey Lance only played one game and attempted 15 passes. Many speculated that Lance might transfer, but instead, he opted for the NFL.

NFL talent evaluators had to determine a proper draft evaluation on a prospect with one year of college experience, and that experience came at a lower level of competition.

We know the result by now, but the San Francisco 49ers traded two future 1st round picks to move up to the 3rd overall pick to select Trey Lance. Trey Lance was to become the future of the 49ers–or so we thought?

Trey Lance only started one game in 2021, due to a Jimmy Garoppolo injury. Jimmy Garoppolo played well under center for the 49ers all season long, and Trey Lance sat on the bench.

Reports out of San Francisco is that the off-season game plan is to trade Jimmy Garoppolo and install Trey Lance as the full-time starter next season. The question is: what do we make of a quarterback who has started one season in the last FOUR years? How much do we know about Trey Lance?

Don’t get me wrong–Trey Lance is tempting in Dynasty leagues. We know how important rushing is at the quarterback position, and you have to imagine that Trey Lance will do plenty of that.

We also know that the San Francisco 49ers are devoted to running the football. Few teams match their rushing volume and success. Will the 49ers game plan limit the upside for Lance?

I find myself debating the question, and the dynasty community as a whole appears legitimately conflicted.

Recently I traded away Trey Lance and a 2022 1st round pick for Najee Harris. I like getting Harris, but recognize that I may have overpaid.

In another league, to gauge interest, I placed Trey Lance on the trade block. The messages that I received all pointed to the fact that managers were concerned that Lance couldn’t beat out Jimmy Garoppolo, and the best offer I received was a 2nd and 4th round pick.

Trey Lance will be a Top 10 fantasy quarterback in 2023. There will be ups and downs next year as Trey Lance gets used to the speed and physicality of the NFL.

Patient dynasty managers will be rewarded when Trey Lance takes the reigns for good.

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I like beer. I like football. Sometimes, both at the same time.

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