Shriners Children’s Open Fantasy Golf Preview

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Shriners Children's Open Fantasy Golf Preview

Strong Sanderson Showing

Although one of our must-have picks, Sergio Garcia, failed to make the cut we still had a good week last week. Especially seen as my betting guide and prop bet article found the eventual winner Sam Burns. However, our two other fantasy players had good weeks, as Kim finished three shots behind Burns in eighth place and Grillo played some solid golf to finish tied for 39th.

This week our attention turns to the Shriners Children’s Open, as we look to build on the successes of last week. We will begin, as always, by taking a look at the history of the tournament as we start to build this week’s BeerLife profile.

The History

The Shriners Children’s Open, which takes place every year in Las Vegas, was launched 34 years ago in 1983. TPC Summerlin is hosting the event right now. It was the first PGA Tour event to offer a purse of more than a million dollars in 1984.

The tournament’s champions include Fuzzy Zoeller, Greg Norman, Davis Love III, Tiger Woods, Jimy Furyk, and Webb Simpson, among the most well-known and, in some cases, most distinguished names in golf. At the same time, the Shriners Children’s Open has been a watershed moment for several TOUR players, notably Tiger Woods, who won for the first time on the PGA TOUR at TPC Summerlin.

Let’s turn our attention to the form of the previous five winners, analyze their rounds and see if we can find some crucial links to begin our BeerLife profile.

Past Results

2021 Martin Laird – 261 – Form 28/65/CUT/6
2020 Kevin Na – 261 – Form CUT/14/DNS/77
2019 Bryson DeChambeau – 263 – Form 19/19/1/1
2018 Patrick Cantlay – 275 – Form 15/20/9/13
2017 Rod Pampling – 264 – Form 42/CUT/CUT/73

The Course

The event will be held at TPC Summerlin again this week. This Bobby Weed design, which is a par 71 and measures just 7,255 yards, has been a feature of the tournament since 1992. Previously, a three-course rota was employed, but TPC Summerlin has been the sole host since Marc Turnesa defeated Matt Kuchar in 2008. By PGA TOUR standards, the raw yardage is not very long. When you add in a little altitude and solid, quick turf, the course gets even smaller.

The club selection off the tee is a bit of a mixed bag. Golfers have a number of alternatives as they navigate their way around the course, which include doglegs and fairway bunkers. If you’re arguing whether distance matters this week, look at the list of winners from the last ten years and you’ll see Kevin Na, Ryan Moore, Webb Simpson, and Ben Martin. These are among of the TOUR’s shorter hitters, but huge hitters like Bryson DeChambeau and Patrick Cantlay have also won in recent years, so don’t rule out the big guns totally.

In terms of scoring, the field averages more birdies and eagles than the average TOUR stop, while also eating fewer bogeys per round and scoring in the middle of the pack in terms of huge numbers. As a result, in 11 of the last 13 years, winning scores of -19 or better have been recorded.

The weather looks fairly decent this week, although the wind could be a factor on days one and two.

+77
°
F
H: +83°
L: +65°
Las Vegas
Tuesday, 05 October
See 7-Day Forecast
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+83° +82° +75° +77° +78° +82°
+66° +70° +67° +60° +64° +65°

The Field

Six Ryder Cup golfers were among the late registrations for the Shriners Children's Open, but three of the tournament's biggest names have decided to boycott the event. Patrick Cantlay, the reigning PGA Tour Player of the Year, Collin Morikawa, and Bryson DeChambeau have all declined to play in the tournament, which starts on Thursday at TPC Summerlin. Cantlay and DeChambeau have won the tournament in the past, and British Open winner Morikawa skipped a home game despite living just minutes from the course.

Despite their absence, the Shriners will field a strong lineup that features 27 of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Rankings and 13 major championship winners from the past. Brooks Koepka, Harris English, and Scottie Scheffler of the victorious US Ryder Cup team, as well as European squad members Paul Casey, Viktor Hovland, and Ian Poulter, will be in Las Vegas.

Louis Oosthuizen, Hideki Matsuyama, Webb Simpson, and Patrick Reed, who is playing the Shriners for the first time in nearly a decade, are among the other prominent names who have committed to play. A significant presence of players with ties to Southern Nevada will compete in the tournament, including two-time winner Kevin Na, Ryan Moore, Maverick McNealy, and Adam Scott. Harry Hall, a former UNLV standout who obtained one of four sponsor's exemptions into the field, is among them.

Key Stats

We run each player in the field through our BeerLife profile analysis to come up with our selections. This is what we are looking for this week:

Delivering at the Dell – Looking back at the previous five winners, one thing is clear and that is they have tended to do well at the Dell Technologies. Bryson won there coming into this one, Cantlay finished 13th and Kevin Na came fifth the year before winning here.

Dell Technologies Match Play 2021

  1. Billy Horschel
  2. Scottie Scheffler
  3. Matt Kuchar
  4. Victor Perez
  5. Jon Rahm
  6. Tommy Fleetwood
  7. Sergio Garcia
  8. Brian Harman

The Early Birdie Catches the Worm – After analyzing the rounds of the past five winners there is a clear first-round bias, so getting off to a good start is crucial around here. Made even more co by the expected wind early on.

Round 1 Scoring Average (2021)

  1. Cameron Smith
  2. Jon Rahm
  3. Cameron Tringale
  4. Jason Kokrak
  5. Brian Harman
  6. Scottie Scheffler

Soaring Like an Eagle – This course averages significantly more eagles than the Tour average, so being able to make eagles is an essential part of the profile this week.

Eagles – Per Hole (2021)

  1. Bryson DeChambeau
  2. Cam Davis
  3. Sergio Garcia
  4. Matthew Wolff
  5. Justin Thomas

Precise Placement – Over the last five years, the top five have finished high in the rankings for strokes gained on the approach.

SG: Approach the Green (2021)

  1. Collin Morikawa
  2. Paul Casey
  3. Justin Thomas
  4. Keegan Bradley
  5. Daniel Berger

Draft Picks

After looking at the above data and running the field through our BeerLife Sports profile builder, we have selected the following picks.

Must-Have Players – These players may cost a bit more but are sure to be worth it.

Scottie Scheffler
Odds To Win +2200
DraftKings $9,700
FanDuel
Although Scheffler doesn’t have a great record on his two visits here, he did finish runner up at the Dell Technologies last season, which as previously discussed is a good sign for players entering this week. He is known to start strong and if he can carry on where he left off last season he should go close here. Scottie finished the season making eight consecutive cuts and during that time he made the top ten on three separate occasions. Overall, that was a position he found himself in eight times last season. He is a sharpshooter off the tee, has a decent approach game, and finished inside the top ten for his putting average last season which makes him a well-rounded proposition. He also made the third-highest number of birdies last season so is a must-have fantasy player this week.

Steady Eddies – These guys should give a good account of themselves but won’t always break the bank to add them to your line-up.

Brian-Harman-PGA
Brian Harman
Odds To Win +5500
DraftKings $7,600
FanDuel
Brian Harman has a similar profile to Scheffler in terms of performance last season. However, the key difference is Harman relishes it around here. He finished 13th here last season and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his previous three visits. He also has never missed the cut so expect to get the full four rounds out of him this week. Harman was one of the best wedge players on Tour last season which is probably why he likes it here as this golf course rewards good wedge players. That is backed up by some fantastic putting figures. If he can keep it straight off the tee, Harman has every chance of contending here.

About the author:

Freelance Sports Writer | + posts

Hey Guys

My name is Dean, AKA The Stat Man. I am a Sports Betting Analyst who uses math, algorithms, probability and logic to create my posts. I specialize in many sports, with Golf being the primary focus. You can find a lot of my work on various websites but the best content is found here on Beer Life.

I live in the UK, on the outskirts of London but my background and heritage is Irish. I'm an avid Manchester United fan who sees following them as a religion. Sport is pretty much my life, as I live and breathe it daily. If there is something I don't know it's probably not worth knowing as I have over 20 years industry experience and insight.

I would love to hear from my followers so drop me a message on the comments section and I will be sure to respond.

As always, believe in the power of statistics!

 

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