Sanderson Farm Championship: Odds Preview

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Sanderson Farm Championship- Odds Preview

Setting the Scene

Sergio Garcia’s victory in the Sanderson Farms Championship last year defied some event expectations. Still, more importantly, it demonstrated that when a great golfer plays elite golf in a field of elite golfers, they will win or come close to winning. In the final round, Garcia nearly had his pocket picked by a charging Peter Malnati, only to deliver a beautiful approach to the 18th and birdie it to win by one stroke.

We now have our Korn Ferry Tour graduates, including players who lost their PGA Tour cards only to reclaim them within a year. Except for John Huh and Austin Cook, almost all of them are looking for their first victory, and one of them may succeed.

With Malnati based in Tennessee, Gribble from Texas, Garcia, and Champ currently stationed there, and Munoz having attended college in the Lone Star State, Southern ties have been a good indication here. In addition, Jonathan Randolph, a local favorite, has had two of his best PGA Tour performances in Mississippi, Munoz’s schoolmate Carlos Ortiz has been close twice, and JT Poston, a South Carolina native, is more at ease on this course than most.

Betting Angles

Course Correlation – There are almost too many course connections to evaluate here, but Detroit Golf Club, Sedgefield Country Club, and Victoria National appear to be the three strongest. Despite falling back over the weekend, Sanderson winners Cameron Champ, Peter Malnati, and Ryan Armour all finished in the top-10 of the inaugural Rock Mortgage Classic at the Donald Ross-designed Detroit Golf Club, and this year’s RMC winner, Cameron Davis, was tied for first with a round to go last year. In addition, the data from last year’s event suggests there’s a solid link to another Ross-designed course, Sedgefield, which hosts the Wyndham Championship.

Garcia, who won the Wyndham in 2012, was pressured in the final round by two other Wyndham winners. It’s unclear why the Bentgrass Victoria National in Indiana, built by Tom Fazio, should connect with the Bermuda grass Country Club of Jackson, Mississippi. However, there are some indications that it does.

In May 2016, Cody Gribble, the 2016 Sanderson Farms Championship winner, finished second to Seamus Power in the United Leasing Championship at Victoria National on the Korn Ferry Tour. Power competed in the SFC again in 2017, after finishing third here three years ago. Jonathan Randolph finished second in Indiana alongside Gribble, who finished third here three years ago.

Earning Your Korn – The grade of the winners may improve over time now that it is a stand-alone tournament. That appears to be the case based on last year’s results. In addition, all six course-winners had considerably more experience on the Korn Ferry Tour than on the PGA Tour before Sergio’s victory, so whether young or old, looking at newly graduated Korn Ferry Tour players appears to be a solid angle in.

Thinking Outside The Box – The first four course-winners all went off at triple-figure odds, and the final three went off at around 70.0, so it’s been a good event for outsiders.

Horses for courses

The Jackson Country Club first opened its doors in 1914. It’s a private club with 27 holes, divided into three nine-hole sections: Dogwood, Azalea, and Cypress. The championship course combines Dogwood and Azalea, with Dogwood serving as the first nine holes. From the back sticks, the championship course is 7,421 yards. In 2008/09, John Fought remodeled the championship course, created by Dick Wilson. The new course is best described as a parkland-style layout with smaller, challenging greens. The green complexes are typically sitting-up with testing run-off zones and range in size from 5,000 to 8,500 square feet.

Where’s the money?

Let’s now look at the betting for the week ahead:

Will Zalatoris 16-1
Sam Burns 16-1
Sergio Garcia 18-1
Sungjae Im 18-1
Corey Conners 22-1
Si-Woo Kim 30-1
Keegan Bradley 33-1
Harold Varner 33-1
Cameron Tringale 33-1
Cameron Davis 33-1
Mito Pereira 33-1
Charley Hoffman 35-1
Sebastian Munoz 40-1
Kevin Streelman 40-1
Talor Gooch 40-1
Seamus Power 40-1
Gary Woodland 45-1
Patton Kizzire 50-1
Aaron Wise 50-1
Carlos Ortiz 50-1
Emiliano Grillo 50-1
Chez Reavie 50-1
Mackenzie Hughes 55-1
Matthias Schwab 60-1
Taylor Pendrith 60-1
Matthew Wolff 60-1
Scott Stallings 66-1
Doug Ghim 66-1
Zach Johnson 66-1
C.T. Pan 66-1
Patrick Rodgers 66-1
Joel Dahmen 70-1
Joseph Bramlett 70-1
Keith Mitchell 70-1
Chad Ramey 70-1
Brendon Todd 70-1
Taylor Moore 80-1
Lucas Glover 80-1
Lucas Herbert 80-1
Scott Piercy 80-1
Aaron Rai 80-1
Chris Kirk 80-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 80-1
Lanto Griffin 90-1
Luke List 90-1
Brendan Steele 100-1
Stephan Jaeger 100-1
Adam Schenk 100-1
Hudson Swafford 100-1
Ryan Armour 100-1
Nick Taylor 100-1
Brandt Snedeker 100-1
Adam Hadwin 100-1
Henrik Norlander 100-1
Bronson Burgoon 100-1
Rory Sabbatini 100-1
Sahith Theegala 100-1
Matt Wallace 100-1
Andrew Putnam 100-1
Brian Stuard 125-1
John Augenstein 125-1
David Lipsky 125-1
Martin Laird 125-1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 125-1
Adam Svensson 125-1
J.T. Poston 125-1
Greyson Sigg 125-1
Denny McCarthy 125-1
Sepp Straka 125-1
Dylan Frittelli 125-1
Russell Knox 125-1
Tom Hoge 125-1
Doc Redman 125-1
Roger Sloan 125-1
Kevin Tway 150-1
Nick Hardy 150-1
Alex Smalley 150-1
Vincent Whaley 150-1
Robert Streb 150-1
Richy Werenski 150-1
Peter Malnati 150-1
Sung-Hoon Kang 150-1
Dawie Van Der Walt 150-1
Ryan Moore 150-1
Brandon Hagy 150-1
Nate Lashley 150-1
Michael Thompson 150-1
Hayden Buckley 150-1
Brandon Wu 175-1
Jimmy Walker 175-1
Wyndham Clark 175-1
Camilo Villegas 175-1
Kevin Chappell 200-1
Chesson Hadley 200-1
Dylan Wu 200-1
Davis Riley 200-1
Davis Thompson 200-1
Austin Cook 200-1
Matthew NeSmith 200-1
Brice Garnett 200-1
Joshua Creel 200-1
Anirban Lahiri 200-1
Seth Reeves 200-1
Sam Ryder 200-1
Kramer Hickok 200-1
Tyler McCumber 200-1
John Huh 200-1
Lee Hodges 250-1
Trey Mullinax 250-1
Andrew Landry 250-1
Michael Gligic 250-1
David Skinns 250-1
Kurt Kitayama 250-1
Adam Long 250-1
Andy Ogletree 250-1
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 250-1
Paul Barjon 300-1
Nick Watney 300-1
Tyler Duncan 300-1
Bill Haas 300-1
Cameron Young 300-1
Andrew Novak 300-1
Scott Gutschewski 300-1
Callum Tarren 300-1
Ben Kohles 350-1

About the author:

Freelance Sports Writer | + posts

Hey Guys

My name is Dean, AKA The Stat Man. I am a Sports Betting Analyst who uses math, algorithms, probability and logic to create my posts. I specialize in many sports, with Golf being the primary focus. You can find a lot of my work on various websites but the best content is found here on Beer Life.

I live in the UK, on the outskirts of London but my background and heritage is Irish. I'm an avid Manchester United fan who sees following them as a religion. Sport is pretty much my life, as I live and breathe it daily. If there is something I don't know it's probably not worth knowing as I have over 20 years industry experience and insight.

I would love to hear from my followers so drop me a message on the comments section and I will be sure to respond.

As always, believe in the power of statistics!

 

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