Recap of last weeks bets
|Winning Margin||USA By 4-6 Points||Lost|
|Top Point Scorer||Jon Rahm||Lost|
|Top USA Point Scorer||Bryson DeChambeau||Lost|
|Top Captains Pick Point Scorer||Daniel Berger||Lost|
|Top Rookie Point Scorer||Viktor Hovland||Lost|
|Top GB & Ireland Point Scorer||Rory McIlroy||Lost|
Profit/Loss (This week) – Loss of $60 to a $10 Stake
Profit/Loss (Overall) – Loss of $207 to a $10 Stake
On to this week’s event.
Sergio Garcia defends the Sanderson Farms Championship at the Country Club of Jackson in Mississippi’s state capital in a low-key resumption of the 2021-22 FedEx Cup season, with none of the winning US Ryder Cup team in attendance. Only nine of the world’s top 50 players are teeing it up, so let’s hope Sergio has it easier than he had in Wisconsin, where a small proportion of the large crowd erupted in applause for every European blunder.
The Sanderson Farms Championship has a hard time attracting big names. While more notables are competing this week than usual, the field is relatively weak. Keegan Bradley, Sam Burns, Corey Conners, Russell Henley, Charley Hoffman, Sungjae Im, Gary Woodland, and Will Zalatoris are all notables in the field.
Of course, a weak field does not negate the event’s betting appeal, which is where we come in. We didn’t have Max Homa to help us win the Fortinet Championship, so now is the time to get back on track. It’s also a place where players at the bottom of the odds board have snuck in some wins. At +4500, Cameron Champ was the closest to the top, and three of the six winners were in the triple digits. Last year, Sergio Garcia also came out of nowhere, cashing at +7000 in this field.
The course has a par of 72 and measures 7,461 yards. The Sanderson Farms Championship is being staged for the ninth time at this location, and no winning 72-hole score has been lower than Nick Taylor’s minus-16 in a two-stroke triumph in 2014.
In 2008, John Fought completed a significant makeover of the country club. His goal was to repair the greens with new Bermuda turfgrass and include traditional Donald Ross design elements. The club successfully pushed the PGA Tour to relocate the Sanderson Farms Championship from Annandale Golf Club after the refurbishment. As a result, it hosted the tournament for the first time in 2015 on its Dogwood and Azalea Championship Courses.
On to our picks for this year…
Sam Burns +1400
Sam Burns is a player that excites me, and after finishing 18th at the Tour Championship finale last season, you have to feel the 25-year-old will be looking to build on that this season. And what better chance than to win against a weakened field here at the Sanderson Farm Championship. Burns finished the season with figures of 13/76/2/21/8/18, which is undoubtedly the best form of any player here this week. He missed the cut here last year, but he did come third in 2019, so he knows his way around this golf course. His putting last season showed maturity beyond his years which led to him having the fifth-highest birdie average on Tour. He is solid with driver or iron in hand, and if he can improve his short game, he will have a successful season.
Top Ten Finish
Roger Sloan +2000
Although he missed the cut at the Fortinet two weeks ago and his last event of the previous season, Roger Sloan does have some good form figures and guidelines here. Before missing those cuts, he came second at the Wyndham, and the week before that, he finished sixth at the Barracuda Championship. His form figures here aren’t the best, but he appears to be on top of his game right now, baring his previous two events. He has a decent iron game, and if the rest of his game clicks, he could be involved come Sunday afternoon.
Tournament Match Bet
Sergio Garcia to beat Will Zalatoris +100
There is no doubt that Zalatoris is a talent and has a massive future in the game, but I like the odds on Garcia here. He was Europe’s best player at the Ryder Cup, and I always feel you have to ride Garcia while he’s hot. Also, being the defending champion, he likes the course and should have the experience to overcome the younger Zalatoris.
Top Rest of the World Player
Emiliano Grillo +2000
You never get much consistency from the Argentinian, and therefore he can be a tricky player to follow. However, he undoubtedly has solid skills, and his experience could be crucial this week coming up against many other players with very little. He needs to start well, as I find if he doesn’t, he can lose interest and heart quite quickly. If he can get the blade going, he could easily walk away with the victory this week.
My name is Dean, AKA The Stat Man. I am a Sports Betting Analyst who uses math, algorithms, probability and logic to create my posts. I specialize in many sports, with Golf being the primary focus. You can find a lot of my work on various websites but the best content is found here on Beer Life.
I live in the UK, on the outskirts of London but my background and heritage is Irish. I'm an avid Manchester United fan who sees following them as a religion. Sport is pretty much my life, as I live and breathe it daily. If there is something I don't know it's probably not worth knowing as I have over 20 years industry experience and insight.
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