Recap of last weeks bets
|To Win||Danny Willett||Lost|
Profit/Loss (This week) – Loss of $10 to a $10 Stake
Profit/Loss (Overall) – Loss of $247 to a $10 Stake
On to this week’s event.
The RSM Classic, known initially as the McGladrey Classic, first took place in October 2010 and has since been held exclusively at the Sea Island Golf Club on Sea Island, Georgia. The Seaside Course is the main attraction, although the Plantation Course joined the rotation in 2015. On either Thursday or Friday, those participating in the RSM Classic will play the Plantation Course. The field will be cut to 70 players after the cut, and they will play the Seaside Course during the weekend.
The two-course structure implemented in 2015 added to the oddness of this event. The first event, held under such conditions, revealed something more expected, as in-form Kisner won by six points. Only rookie Austin Cook has broken the playoff drought since then, dominating shortly after graduating from the Korn Ferry Tour. He, like Kisner, is a fairways-first golfer who is prone to hot putting streaks, so we have the formula to work with there.
This sea-side links-style course, located on the southern tip of St. Simons Island, is prone to windy weather. The course length, which is just over 7,000 yards, is unimportant, and the fairways are relatively easy to identify. For a Par 70 course, the green complexes are pretty huge. Birdie opportunities will be rewarded for accurate iron play, but the greens are tricky and quick. Both the Seaside and Plantation Courses are easy by Tour standards, yet they nonetheless provide a good test of course management and ingenuity around the greens.
On to our picks for this year…
Brendon Todd +6000
Todd led for the first three rounds here in 2020 before finally finishing in fourth, and he will be hoping to go all the way this year. He has started the season relatively well and finished 11th last time out at the World Wide Technology Championship, shooting four sub 70 rounds of golf. His figures off the tee are less than inspiring, but that should matter too much here, and his approach game has been decent. However, his putting has been solid, and if this turns out to be a putting contest that is expected, then he should have every chance.
Top 10 Finish
Patrick Rodgers +600
This season, Patrick Rodgers has been in superb form and already has two top-ten finishes to his name from four events. Although he has missed the cut here the previous two years, he did finish as the runner-up in 2019, so you need not worry about his recent course form. He also finished tenth in 2017, making him a solid bet for a top ten finish this week. He has very little weakness to his game this season and should give another good account of himself this week.
Top 20 Finish
Hayden Buckley +400
I’m surprised the odds for Hayden Buckley are so generous this week, considering he has two finishes inside the top right this season. This is Buckley’s first season on Tour after impressing on the Korn Ferry Tour last season. He managed to pick up one victory, one runner-up spot, five top-ten finishes, and 12 top 25 placings. I have scrutinized his play, and from tee to green, he is near perfect. While his putting needs some improvement, I would put this down to a lack of inexperience. If he can get a streak going this week, he could be a surprise package.
Will There Be a Playoff
This looks a certainty to me. On a golf course this easy, there could quite easily be ten players in contention come Sunday evening. This is backed up by the fact that over half of the previous RSM Classic tournaments have been decided by a playoff.
Top 40 Finish
Scott Stallings +190
After finishing sixth and fifth this season, Scott Stallings looks nailed on to finish inside the top 40. His form here hasn’t been the best in recent years, but he did finish ninth in 2016, and he has arguably played some of his best golf for some time this season. Stallings can be erratic and unpredictable at times, but I have every confidence he will finish inside the top 40 players this week.
My name is Dean, AKA The Stat Man. I am a Sports Betting Analyst who uses math, algorithms, probability and logic to create my posts. I specialize in many sports, with Golf being the primary focus. You can find a lot of my work on various websites but the best content is found here on Beer Life.
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