Recap of last weeks bets
|To Win||Collin Morikawa||Lost|
|First Round Matchbet||Sam Burns||Won|
Profit/Loss (This week) – Loss of $1.30 to a $10 Stake
Profit/Loss (Overall) – Loss of $269.30 to a $10 Stake
On to this week’s event.
Collin Morikawa wasted a five-shot lead in the Hero World Challenge last Sunday, allowing a golden opportunity to become world No. 1 (not to mention give us a winner) to slip through his fingers, and many of the sport’s top players have now hung up their clubs for the year. However, there remains one more PGA Tour event: the QBE Shootout at Tiburon Golf Club in Naples, Florida.
The format of the yearly pairs event is unusual. On Friday, the format is a ‘scramble,’ where both players hit tee shots before deciding which ball to play. Then, both players return to that spot and choose the best shot until the ball is holed. On Saturday, there is a ‘greensomes .’ Both players drive, the best tee-shot is selected, and foursomes golf begins. Finally, on Sunday, there’s a ‘better-ball’ round in which players hit their ball the entire time, and each couple chooses the lower score.
Last season, Matt Kuchar and Harris English smashed their unofficial score record in the three-round event, which they had set back in 2013, finishing at 37 under. This time, they’ll team up once more in the hopes of winning the QBE for the fourth time. Jason Day and Marc Leishman will also be aiming to add a team title to their careers. Leishman and Cameron Smith won the Zurich Classic in April, and they finished sixth at the QBE last year.
The event will be held at the properties Gold Course, which has a rating of 76 and a slope of 137 and was designed by Greg Norman. The course is a links-style course with a length of 7,382 yards, which is slightly less than the Tour’s average. The greens are Bermuda Grass and have an abundance of bunkers around them, as they are on most Florida courses.
On to our picks for this year…
Homa and Kisner are a partnership that I believe has everything needed to win here. Homa has the form and winning mentality and confidence, having won the Fortinet Championship this season, and Kisner’s game appears suited to this golf course. Max is a steady player and doesn’t have many weaknesses in his game, making him the ideal partner to play with. This means that anyone playing with him can be more aggressive, knowing that they have a reliable option playing beside them. Kosher hasn’t started this season well, but I’m hoping this golf course will bring the best out of him. Kisner has played this event on three occasions, and while he hasn’t troubled the leaders, he will bring this team some well-needed experience. Because of his attacking approach, Kisner can be very hit and miss. However, it’s probably a good thing on this occasion, as it gives this team some bite. His putting this season has been a worry, but this team can go far this week if he can correct that.
Tournament Match Bet
Burns/Horschel to beat Kokrak/Na -130
I’m sticking with Sam Burns in the match play stakes this week as everything he seems to touch as of late turns to gold. This is highlighted by his tournament placings of 1/14/5/7/3 this season. He is one of only a handful of players that hasn’t wound down for the seasonal holidays and still has the hunger in his belly to compete. Horschel hasn’t played much golf this season, but he brings some experience to the team, having entered this tournament for the previous five years (he has a best placing of third). Kokrak and Na are certainly no pushover. The last time we saw Jason Kokrak, he won the Houston Open. However, you have to feel that the win was the climax to his year and that he will have been off celebrating that victory and not getting much practice in. Kevin Na has struggled this season, and his form does not inspire any confidence.
My name is Dean, AKA The Stat Man. I am a Sports Betting Analyst who uses math, algorithms, probability and logic to create my posts. I specialize in many sports, with Golf being the primary focus. You can find a lot of my work on various websites but the best content is found here on Beer Life.
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