Recap of last weeks bets
|To Win||Webb Simpson||Lost|
|Top 20 Finish||Ryan Moore||Lost|
|Match Bet||Ryan Armour||Lost|
|Wire To Wire Winner||Yes||Lost|
Profit/Loss (This week) – Loss of $40 to a $10 Stake
Profit/Loss (Overall) – Loss of $125 to a $10 Stake
On to this week’s event.
Since its introduction in 2007, the FedEx Cup has increased in popularity dramatically. The spectacle of watching the world’s greatest golfers compete has become a true highlight of the golfing calendar. That spectacle is now compressed into just three events over three weeks. The top 125 players in the FedEx Cup standings will compete in the Northern Trust in New Jersey this week, with the top 70 moving on to the BMW Championship, which will be held for the first time at Caves Valley Golf Club, and the top 30 qualifying for the Tour Championship at East Lake. On September 5th, we shall learn who will be the FedEx Cup champion in 2021.
In terms of the winner’s ranking here, despite moving from host course to host course, a member of the world’s top 25 has won this tourney seven out of the last eight years. This indicates that, unlike many other tournaments, outsiders have a more challenging time in this one. Of course, it’s up to you whether this is because the pressure thus close to the FedEx Cup final causes some or all of the higher-ranked pros to raise their game, but it certainly seems to be the case with the tour’s top players.
The cream of the crop has had to up their game even more as the PGA Tour grows more profound and more talented, and in the strongest fields — whether it’s major championships, WGC events, the Olympics, or FedEx Cup Playoffs events — the chances of one of the top handful of golfers winning or being firmly in contention are as high as ever.
Justin Rose, Tommy Fleetwood, and Rickie Fowler are among the players that did not make the FedEx Cup playoffs starting lineup, while Louis Oosthuizen cannot compete due to a strained neck. Collin Morikawa is the current leader in the standings.
Liberty National is a par 70 course with bentgrass greens and fairways that measures 7,353 yards on the scorecard. This tournament has been held on the Robert Cupp and Tom Kite design in 2009, 2013, and 2019, and it was also the host course for the 2017 Presidents Cup. Liberty National has shown to be a course that caters to a balanced tee-to-green skill set, and regardless of venue, this is almost always an event won by a top player.
On to our picks for this year…
Rory McIlroy +2000
Rory McIlroy has shown glimpses of the form recently that got him to the world’s number one position. He has finished inside the top ten in two of the last four weeks and has saved his best for the big occasions. He finished sixth the last time this tournament was held at this golf course, so has course form. He has the power to blast his way around here and is a birdie-making machine on his day. Unfortunately, he hasn’t putted well this year, and he has tended to start most tournaments slowly, which has cost him. If he can sort both of those out, he has a great chance here at his most considerable odds for quite some time.
Top 10 Finish
Sam Burns +500
Burns has seven top-ten finishes this year and came second in the St. Jude Invitational last time out. He is an attacking player, so you always feel you have a chance by backing him. His approach game and skill with the blade are up there with the best in the game. While he isn’t the greatest with the driver, he is certainly no slouch in this department. He has the most birdies on par-four holes this season which has been the key to winning here in the past.
Top Asian Player
Si Woo Kim +400
Kim finished second at the Wyndham Championship last week and can build on that good form here. You wouldn’t say Kim is the best in any department, but he has a decent all-around game and seems to do well when it matters. While his best finish was a modest 20th back in 2017, he has always made the cut, making him a reliable option in this market.
Hole in One Tournament
With so many fantastic iron players, this seems a gimme to me. There isn’t much else to say here, so get on!
My name is Dean, AKA The Stat Man. I am a Sports Betting Analyst who uses math, algorithms, probability and logic to create my posts. I specialize in many sports, with Golf being the primary focus. You can find a lot of my work on various websites but the best content is found here on Beer Life.
I live in the UK, on the outskirts of London but my background and heritage is Irish. I'm an avid Manchester United fan who sees following them as a religion. Sport is pretty much my life, as I live and breathe it daily. If there is something I don't know it's probably not worth knowing as I have over 20 years industry experience and insight.
I would love to hear from my followers so drop me a message on the comments section and I will be sure to respond.
As always, believe in the power of statistics!