Tonight’s NHL DFS slate starts later than usual at 8 PM EST. If you play both NBA and NHL DFS, this is welcomed as it can get pretty hectic leading up to simultaneous lock time. We do, however, only have 3 games on the docket. There is money to be made just the same. Let’s see how we can make it.
Top Stacks – Overall
Washington 1 – DraftKings: $20,500 – FanDuel: $23,300
Alex Ovechkin – Evgeny Kuznetsov – Aliaksei Protas
The trio of Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, and Protas is back in our lives, with Tom Wilson very likely to miss tonight’s matchup with Chicago. This makes the line considerably cheaper, which is a net positive. We are playing this line primarily for Ovechkin and his massive upside anyway. This is a decent matchup with the Blackhawks and the top spot on the slate.
Chicago 1 – DraftKings: $16,800 – FanDuel: $18,200
Patrick Kane – Alex DeBrincat – Dylan Strome
Our second-best stack of the night plays on the other side of the best stack as Chicago gets the home ice against Washington. The Capitals are a tougher defensive matchup, but whenever you put Kane and DeBrincat together, Chicago’s top line is potent enough to handle the competition. They are also fully correlated on the power play. This is a considerable price discount on a very high success probability stack. Mainly since this is only a three-game slate, there’s nothing wrong with playing skaters from both sides of this game, either.
Top Stacks – Value
Arizona 1 – DraftKings: $10,600 – FanDuel: $13,800
Clayton Keller – Phil Kessel – Travis Boyd
Let’s get it out of the way: this is not a particularly good line, far from it. Still, we need savings on this slate, and they are simply too cheap. They do play at home, although the matchup with the Rangers is far from ideal. New York did, however, play just yesterday in a challenging game against the Avalanche, and the back-to-back could benefit the Coyotes.
Top Plays – Forwards
Ceiling:
Alex Ovechkin – DraftKings: $9,700 – FanDuel: $9,500
Patrick Kane – DraftKings: $7,600 – FanDuel: $7,300
Artemi Panarin – DraftKings: $7,300 – FanDuel: $8,400
Mika Zibanejad – DraftKings: $6,800 – FanDuel: $6,800
DraftKings Value:
Clayton Keller: $4,000
Phil Kessel: $3,300
Jakob Silfverberg: $2,800
Lawson Crouse: $2,600
FanDuel Value:
Phil Kessel: $4,600
Nick Schmaltz: $4,000
Jakob Silfverberg: $3,900
Filip Chytil: $3,800
Top Plays – Defenseman
Ceiling:
John Carlson – DraftKings: $7,500 – FanDuel: $6,400
Adam Fox – DraftKings: $7,400 – FanDuel: $7,200
Seth Jones – DraftKings: $7,200 – FanDuel: $6,500
Shayne Gostisbehere – DraftKings: $5,600 – FanDuel: $5,100
DraftKings Value:
Shayne Gostisbehere: $5,600 (ceiling and value!)
Cam Fowler: $3,700
Adam Larsson: $3,300
Connor Murphy: $3,200
FanDuel Value:
Shayne Gostisbehere: $5,100 (ceiling and value!)
Cam Fowler: $4,200
Dmitry Orlov: $4,000
Connor Murphy: $3,600
Top Plays – Goalie
Keith Kinkaid: DraftKings: $8,100 – FanDuel: $6,500
Anthony Stolarz: DraftKings: $7,900 – FanDuel: $7,600
Ilya Samsonov: DraftKings: $7,800 – FanDuel: $7,400
Philipp Grubauer: DraftKings: $7,500 – FanDuel: $7,400
Tournament Stack Pivots: DraftKings
I would look to Anaheim 1, Arizona 2, and Chicago 2 if trying to get different with your stacks. We don’t have a ton of options here on this three-gamer. ANH1 should be somewhat popular, but you get a bit of an ownership discount on a pretty high success likelihood stack. ARI2 and CHI2 should be very low-owned, and both have some viability on this slate.
Tournament Stack Pivots: FanDuel
I would mostly look to Anaheim 1 and Anaheim 3 if trying to get different on FanDuel. Ultimately since this is such a small slate, the most viable stacks will get a good bit of ownership. A good option for differentiation is uniqueness with your roster construction rather than standard 4-3 and 3-3 builds with a correlated goalie. That and/or using very low-owned defensemen. Power-play stacking rather than full even-strength line stacking may be another differentiator to consider. This applies to FanDuel and DraftKings alike.
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