After yesterday’s 4-gamer, we have a decent eight-game slate in the NHL to break down. Let’s get right to it.
Top Stacks – Overall
Boston 1 – DraftKings: $21,400 – FanDuel: $22,900
David Pastrnak – Patrice Bergeron – Taylor Hall
While Boston’s first line is the most expensive stack on the slate, it is hard to argue with it considering their immense upside when clicking on all cylinders. It’s a great matchup at home against Detroit, and Boston is poised to smash here. You can also pair them with one of the highest projected goalies on the day in Linus Ullmark. The best part is that due to their restrictive price, they will generally come in under-owned for their probability of being the top stack on the slate.
Washington 1 – DraftKings: $20,400 – FanDuel: $20,900
Alex Ovechkin – Evgeny Kuznetsov – Aliaksei Protas
While Washington’s first line looks slightly different with Aliaksei Protas on the wing instead of Tom Wilson, it also serves to lower the overall cost of the stack. Protas is also expected to be on their top power-play unit with Ovechkin and Kuznetsov. The savings there also helps you to roster top defenseman John Carlson for a four-man power play stack if you so choose. Washington 1 should be very under-owned on this slate due to Florida’s less than ideal matchup and restrictive stack price.
Florida 1 – DraftKings: $15,900 – FanDuel: $18,000
Jonathan Huberdeau – Sam Bennett – Owen Tippett
This DraftKings price on Florida 1 is way too low for what may be the third-best stack of the day in terms of raw scoring probability. Even the FanDuel price still presents us with value. You get full power play 1 correlation with these three. You can even potentially pay up for stud defenseman Aaron Ekblad with the savings you get on DraftKings for a four-man PP1 stack. Washington is not an easy matchup, nor is Florida, but with the talent on both of these lines, one or both sides of this game is likely to pay off. If there is one downside, they should be highly owned in tournaments, yet, sometimes it is not so bad to eat the chalk with one stack and get different elsewhere in your lineups.
Top Stack – Value
Minnesota 3 – DraftKings: $11,900 – FanDuel: $13,100
Kevin Fiala – Victor Rask – Frederick Gaudreau
Sometimes the top value stacks don’t match up between the DFS sites, but today they do, with MIN3 leading the charge. This price is just egregiously low, and this is not your typical third line. All three skaters are on the power play, and they offer excellent defensive pairings with Matt Dumba and Jonas Brodin. Both stand out as top values on FanDuel today. Arizona has been easy to score on all year, and this situation sets up well for Minnesota overall.
Top Plays – Defenseman
Ceiling:
Victor Hedman – DraftKings: $7,900 – FanDuel: $6,800
Dougie Hamilton – DraftKings: $7,800 – FanDuel: $7,000
Roman Josi – DraftKings: $7,600 – FanDuel: $7,100
Jakob Chychrun – DraftKings: $6,600 – FanDuel: $5,200
DraftKings Value:
Radko Gudas: $2,900
Mattias Ekholm: $3,000
Alexander Edler: $3,300
Matt Grzelcyk: $3,600
MacKenzie Weegar: $4,700
FanDuel Value:
Jakob Chychrun – $5,200 (yes, he is both a top ceiling and value play on FD)
MacKenzie Weegar: $4,900
Matt Dumba: $4,600
Jonas Brodin: $4,200
Colton Parayko: $3,900
Top Plays – Goalie
Kaapo Kahkonen – DraftKings: $8,500 – FanDuel: $8,200
Linus Ullmark – DraftKings: $8,300 – FanDuel: $8,600
Juuse Saros – DraftKings: $8,200 – FanDuel: $7,100
Sergei Bobrovsky – DraftKings: $8,100 – FanDuel: $8,400
Tournament Stack Pivots: DraftKings
Interestingly, a couple of the top stacks in Boston 1 and Washington 1 offer decent leverage as well. They should be under-owned for their success probability due to the cost-prohibitive price. If looking for some really off-the-board options, Detroit 1, Carolina 1, and Anaheim 1 have a reasonable top-stack possibility and should be low-owned.
Tournament Stack Pivots: FanDuel
It is the same deal on FanDuel, where two of our top stacks in BOS1 and WAS1 actually offer us decent leverage as well. If looking for low-owned but decent pivot options, St. Louis 1 and 2, Carolina 1, San Jose 1, and Tampa Bay 1 fit the bill.
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