NHL DFS: Top Stacks, Plays, And Leverage Pivots – 12/29/2021

252
NHL DFS- Top Stacks, Plays, And Leverage Pivots - 12:29:2021

We are back to a decently sized NHL slate with six games on deck, assuming no unexpected postponements. Let’s look into the slate and see where our best DFS options lie.

Top Stacks – Overall

Washington 1 – DraftKings: $22,500 – FanDuel: $23,500

Alex Ovechkin – Evgeny Kuznetsov – Tom Wilson

With Washington’s first line healthy and ready to go, Ovechkin and company will undoubtedly be one of our top options. Although expensive, the upside is undeniable. Nashville is not the most fantastic match-up, but the Capitals play at home, and we are banking on talent here. We also get full power play one correlation here, and you can pair them with one of the best defensemen on the slate in John Carlson if you can afford it.

Edmonton 1 – DraftKings: $18,900 – FanDuel: $20,600

Connor McDavid – Zach Hyman – Warren Foegele

While Edmonton 1 is not as potent without McDavid and Draisaitl skating alongside each other, any time McDavid is on the line, big things tend to happen. One benefit of the current personnel is that it makes the line considerably cheaper, enabling you to pay up elsewhere in your lineup. On top of it, you can play a power play 1 stack and leave Foegele off the line while including Leon Draisaitl and/or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins. The road match-up against St. Louis is nothing extraordinary. Still, this is Connor McDavid, and he is primarily match-up proof any time he takes the ice.

Florida 1 – DraftKings: $16,300 – FanDuel: $19,300

Alexander Barkov – Anthony Duclair – Carter Verhaeghe

We have an odd slate in that most of the more potent lines don’t have fantastic match-ups. Yet, we still have to look at the talent, and Florida 1 at home, even in a tough match-up against the Rangers, is firmly in play here. The added benefit is that they come at considerable savings, particularly on DraftKings. Two of the best defenseman plays of the day in Aaron Ekblad, and Gustav Forsling can also be tacked onto the stack for additional correlation.

Top Stack – Value

Seattle 1 – DraftKings: $14,900 – FanDuel: $16,200

Jordan Eberle – Jared McCann – Jaden Schwartz

There are cheaper stacks with some viability on this slate, particularly on DraftKings. Yet, all things considered, Seattle 1 is my top value stack of the day on both sites. They are a line 1 fully correlated on the first power play. They can be paired with one of the day’s best plays in Mark Giordano on FanDuel for a highly affordable four-man PP1 stack. They skate on home ice against a highly attackable Philadelphia squad. Seattle 1 should be highly-rostered on FanDuel particularly, but I don’t mind eating this chalk.

Top Plays – Forwards

Ceiling:

Connor McDavid – DraftKings: $9,800 – FanDuel: $10,300
Alex Ovechkin – DraftKings: $9,700 – FanDuel: $10,200
Leon Draisaitl – DraftKings: $9,200 – FanDuel: $10,000
Alexander Barkov – DraftKings: $7,000 – FanDuel: $8,500

DraftKings Value:

Jared McCann: $4,600
Joel Farabee: $3,400
Jakob Silfverberg: $3,100
Alex Tuch: $2,500

FanDuel Value:

Jared McCann: $5,400
Jaden Schwartz: $4,900
Yanni Gourde: $4,600
Alex Tuch: $3,900

Top Plays – Defenseman

Ceiling:

Dougie Hamilton – DraftKings: $7,800 – FanDuel: $6,500
John Carlson – DraftKings: $7,500 – FanDuel: $6,400
Aaron Ekblad – DraftKings: $7,400 – FanDuel: $6,700
Adam Fox – DraftKings: $7,300 – FanDuel: $7,100

DraftKings Value:

Rasmus Dahlin: $4,400
Mattias Ekholm: $3,400
Gustav Forsling: $3,400
Haydn Fleury: $2,500

FanDuel Value:

Mark Giordano: $4,900
Ivan Provorov: $4,300
Jamie Drysdale: $4,100
Mattias Ekholm: $3,900

Top Plays – Goalie

Sergei Bobrovsky – DraftKings: $8,300 – FanDuel: $8,400
Ilya Samsonov – DraftKings: $8,200 – FanDuel: $8,300
John Gibson – DraftKings: $8,100 – FanDuel: $7,000
MacKenzie Blackwood – DraftKings: $7,800 – FanDuel: $6,900

Tournament Stack Pivots – DraftKings

We should see a lot of ownership go to the apparent value stacks of the day in SEA1, STL1, VAN1, and NJ1. EDM1 should be popular in the higher-end department due to the attractive price. This should make WAS1 reasonably owned despite being arguably the top stack of the day. FLA1 should also come at acceptable ownership. For some more off-the-board pivots, I would look at NSH1, NYR1, NYR2, ANH1, FLA2, and PHI1.

Tournament Stack Pivots – FanDuel

We should get a lot of FanDuel ownership on SEA1 and NJ1 for value, and EDM1 and 2 should be popular higher-end stacks. WAS1 should go somewhat under-owned on FanDuel as well due to pricing. FLA1 should also be reasonable. Looking for some sneakier options, I would consider VAN1, PHI1, NYR1, and NYR2.

About the author:

Sports Analyst at | + posts

I'm a DFS player (JackG1111), DFS content provider, and musician.