NFL Week 8 DFS: Wide Receiver Cheat Sheet

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NFL Week 8 DFS- Wide Receiver Cheat Sheet

NFL Week 7 Ownership Recap

  • Chris Godwin made a surprise appearance as last week’s top owned receiver (34.6%).
  • Cooper Kupp rewarded his owners with 40.6 FPTS. He was rostered in 22% of DFS lineups.
  • Jaylen Waddle (4th most owned) finished with just 15 fantasy points.
  • Davante Adams had a mediocre performance (19.6 FPTS) as he was the most expensive DFS receiver.

Cooper Kupp (Fanduel $9200)

In this week’s main slate of games, Los Angeles Rams receiver Cooper Kupp is the most expensive option on FanDuel. In most week’s Fanduel’s top option will cost $100 to $200 more than the next player. However, in week eight, rostering Cooper Kupp will cost an extra $1000 over Ja’Marr Chase.

On the season, Cupp is the NFL’s top fantasy wide receiver at 27.2 points per game. His previous career-high came in 2019 where he finished 7th among receivers at 16.9.

Heading into week eight, the Rams once again have a favorable matchup vs the Hoston Texans. This comes on the heels of playing the New York Giants and Detroit Lions in weeks six and seven.

Against these lowly defenses, Kupp went off for 34 and 37.6 points, respectively. This production was not the result of a spike in opportunities, rather both his targets and receptions were right in line with his season average.

When looking at Cooper Kupp’s game log, there are just three games he failed to surpass 30 fantasy points. The common denominator in these contests was his inability to surpass his reception average of eight per game.

On the season, the Ram’s top receiver has a target share of 33.8%, third in the NFL. This comes in a LA offense ranked 18th in pass plays per game. In the past, Kupp has profiled as more a “possession” receiver, but this year he has found a role as a deep threat in the Rams offense. So far, he has the 4th most deep targets among receivers.

This week, Los Angeles is facing a Texans secondary ranked 6th in fewest fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. When zeroing in on their performance vs. the opponent’s top receiver, they fall to 10th.

By no means does this mean Houston possesses a good defense. Rather, opposing teams spend most of the second half trying to wind down the clock with running plays. For DFS contestants looking to roster Kooper Kupp, this should be a real concern.

This week, I recommend staying away from Cooper Kupp in DFS contests. Last week, the Rams were surprised by Detroit in a closer than expected game. I don’t see this happening vs Houston, meaning Kupp might only have three quarters to pick up points.

Pass TypeCompleteTargetsCompletion PercentageYards
DEEP LEFT10150.666667291
SHORT LEFT19250.760000187
SHORT RIGHT18230.782609140
Cooper Kupp Receiving Breakdown

Ja’Marr Chase (Fanduel $8200)

We don’t have to go far down the list to find my favorite DFS receiver of the week. In his week eight matchup with the Jets, my model projects Bengals receiver Ja’Marr Chase finishing with 26 fantasy points. In his rookie season, Chase has burst onto the scene with 754 yards on 35 receptions.

Through seven games, the Bengal’s leading receiver is 4th among NFL receivers in fantasy points. Last week, Chase finished just behind Cooper Kupp with 34.1 points. In the game, he was efficient with his opportunities, catching eight of ten passes for 201 yards.

What makes Chase’s production so impressive is that he is playing in the 28th ranked offense in pass plays per game. Despite being ranked 20th in the league in targets, he is rated 2nd in overall receiving yards. His 24.6% target share ranks 17th in the NFL.

So far, Ja’Marr Chase is converting on big-play opportunities at a remarkable rate. Normally, QB-WR duos most efficient throws are reserved for underneath routes. Not in the case of Chase and Burrow as they have connected on deep throws to the right side of the field 60% of the time, for 244 yards.

If there is a concern with rostering Ja’Marr Chase it is that the Jets are 4th best defense in limiting wide receiver fantasy production. However, when digging deeper we find they are the league’s worst in fantasy points allowed to number one receivers.

This week, if you are targeting one of the top receivers on the market, I recommend saving the $1000 and rostering Ja’Marr Chase over Cooper Kupp.

Pass TypeCompleteTargetsCompletion PercentageYards
DEEP RIGHT6100.600000244
SHORT RIGHT7110.636364163
DEEP LEFT450.800000114
SHORT MIDDLE8120.666667106
SHORT LEFT9100.90000074
Ja’Marr Chase Receiving Breakdown

Mike Evans (Fanduel $7500)

One of my favorite DFS strategies is to take two receivers within the 5-10 range in terms of DFS salary ranking. This week, Tampa Bay Buccaneers wideout Mike Evans will be one of those players.

In his matchup with the Saints, my model has Evans as week eight’s second-most productive receiver. Picking him up for just $7500 makes him a steal.

On the season, Mike Evans has a receiving yard total of 496 yards on 37 receptions. So far he is on pace to have a career year in fantasy production, averaging 18.4 pts per game.

What makes Evans such a great option is he is playing on the NFL’s top team in pass plays per game. Through seven games, Tom Brady and the Buccaneers are throwing the ball 44 times per contest. In an offense loaded with weapons, he is receiving a target share of 19.6%.

This week, he figures to get a heavy workload as the team will once again be without Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski. It appears Tampa Bay has no intentions of changing their offense without Brown and Gronk. Instead, Brady just shifted his focus to his remaining options. Last week vs. the Bears, Evans put up 31.6 fantasy points on six receptions. Third among receivers.

Heading into week eight, Evans has another opportunity to put up big numbers. Over the past few seasons, we have come to equate the New Orleans Saints with an excellent defense. However, this season the team’s secondary has been unable to slow down their opponent’s top wideout, ranking 31st.

In addition to picking up Mike Evans, I will also be looking to pair him with Tom Brady (Fanduel $8300) as a stack play.

Pass TypeCompleteTargetsCompletion PercentageYards
DEEP RIGHT590.555556131
SHORT MIDDLE9130.692308115
DEEP LEFT350.60000086
SHORT RIGHT10140.71428681
Mike Evans Receiving Breakdown

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