NFL Week 7: DFS Wide Receiver Cheat Sheet

NFL Week 7 DFS Wide Receiver Analysis, Advice And Picks

NFL Week 7: DFS Wide Receiver Cheat Sheet

NFl Week 6: Wide Receiver Ownership Breakdown

  • Cooper Kupp was last week’s top owned receiver (19.46%) and paid off big with 37 FPTS
  • Sterling Shephard made a surprise appearance as the 4th most owned receiver (11%)
  • Tournament contestants took a flyer on Darnell Mooney (6th most owned)
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones was owned in .55% of contestants and put up 29 fantasy points
NFL Davante Adams Green Bay Packers

Davante Adams (Fanduel $9000)

Green Bay Packers wide receiver Davante Adams is this week’s most expensive player at his position. Based on this season’s production, he could easily claim this spot every week.

Among fellow wide receivers, Adams ranks 1st in target share and 2nd in overall targets. At this point, it is plain as day where Aaron Rodgers is trying to go with the football. Still, opposing defenses have been unable to slow down this connection.

What makes Adams such a tough cover, is the separation he creates at the line of scrimmage. With his defender immediately out of position, Rodgers and his favorite target have the chemistry to go off script successfully. This is an important part of his game given the number of double teams he faces.

This week Davante Adams is facing a Washington Football Team defense ranked 31st in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. On the season, they are giving up 82 yards per game to top wideouts.

Washington’s top two cornerbacks Kendall Fuller and William Jackson are coming off a dismal performance against Kansas City. Jackson in particular struggled in coverage, giving up 110 yards on 6 catches.

The only thing that could slow down Davante Adams is if Washington is able to generate a pass rush on Aaron Rodgers. Even then, the MVP is excellent at getting outside the pocket and making off-schedule throws.

Right now, Davante Adams is as close of a sure thing as there is in DFS. I recommend including him in cash game lineups.

Pass TypeCompleteTargetsCompletion PercentageYards
DEEP MIDDLE450.800000140
SHORT RIGHT16200.800000131
DEEP LEFT590.55555696
DEEP RIGHT250.40000081
SHORT MIDDLE560.83333366
SHORT LEFT10140.71428665
Davante Adams Receiver Production Breakdown

Calvin Ridley (Fanduel $7300)

Further down the list of available players, I am targeting Atlanta Falcons receiver, Calvin Ridley. So far, Ridley has had a disappointing season. Through four games of action, he has just 255 receiving yards and one touchdown.

The reason I am still high on the Falcons receiver is that his slow start is not an issue with opportunity. This year, Ridley ranks 8th in the NFL in target share and 7th in red-zone targets. All of this coming on a Falcons offense ranked 2nd in the NFL in pass plays per game.

Simply put, he and Matt Ryan have failed to get on the same page. On the bright, this is something that can be reversed quickly. Ridley is already and will continue to be a big part of the Falcons game plan. All it takes is connecting on a few big plays and this duo could start rolling.

If Ridley is going to break out, this is the week for it to happen. The Miami Dolphins secondary is ranked 30th in the NFL in fantasy points to wide receivers. On average, top wideouts are racking up 113 yards per game against the unit.

Last week the Dolphins gave up 319 yards passing to rookie Trevor Lawrence. Receiver Marvin Jones Jr. went off for 100 yards on 7 catches. In his last game vs the Buccaneers, top cornerback Xavien Howard allowed 89 yards on 4 receptions.

As the week 7 DFS rosters come together, I am expecting Calvin Ridley to fall through the cracks in many lineups. Most contestants will simply look at his lack of yards and touchdown receptions and move on. However, with a good matchup against the Dolphins and a track record of substantial targets, I am expecting a big game from Ridley.

Pass TypeCompleteTargetsCompletion PercentageYards
SHORT MIDDLE771.00000096
SHORT RIGHT12150.80000081
SHORT LEFT6100.60000041
DEEP LEFT130.33333321
DEEP MIDDLE130.33333316
DEEP RIGHT040.0000000
Calvin Ridley Wide Receiver Breakdown

Jaylen Waddle (Fanduel $5900)

Staying in the matchup between Atlanta and Miami, I am taking Jaylen Waddle as my sleeper/value pick of the week. On the season, Waddle has 37 catches for 301 yards. While these numbers don’t jump off the page, it is important to remember that he has been in an offense primarily run by Jacoby Brissett.

Last week, in the return of Tua Tagovailoa, the rookie receiver had his best game of the season. Against the Jaguars, Waddle hauled in 10 catches for 70 yards and two touchdowns.

As a rookie, Waddle has already become a key part of the offense with his 21.6% target share. This attention has a significant impact on his fantasy outlook as the Dolphins rank 7th in the NFL in pass plays per game.

Looking longer term I will continue to monitor Waddle’s average target distance. Right now he is averaging just 5 yards per target. If this figure fails to improve, I will strictly use him in formats with a higher point emphasis on receptions.

However, this week I think Waddle comes with substantial upside against the Atlanta Falcons. In 5 games played, the Falcons are allowing 25.7 fantasy points per game to the wide receiver position. They are also a below-average unit in limiting the production of number one receivers.

This game has an over-under total of 47.5 points. I am expecting these two teams to go over this number in their week 7 matchup. Coming off a two-touchdown performance, and a big game from his quarterback, I can easily see Jaylen Waddle filling the stat sheet vs Atlanta.

I recommend using Waddle across all contests. His salary of $5900 frees up the cap space needed to grab someone like Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill, or Cooper Kupp.

Pass TypeCompleteTargetsCompletion PercentageYards
DEEP LEFT111.0036
SHORT LEFT340.7533
Jaylen Waddle Receiver Breakdown From Tagovailoa

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