NFL Week 7 DFS: DraftKings’ Top Values

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NFL Week 7 DFS- DraftKings' Top Values

Week 7 of the NFL season is upon us and with it the DraftKings Millionaire contest. This $20 slate has a prize pool of $3.5 million, with a cool million going to the winner. We take a look at the best value plays on the slate, offering salary flexibility to go for the big prize:

Quarterback

Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams vs. Detroit Lions ($7,100):

With only 10 games on the slate, prices are tight and ownership is concentrated. Yet, somehow, it appears Stafford is going to be rather low-owned despite the narrative to end all narratives, going against his former team, at home, with a deadly 1-2 punch at wide receiver. Darrell Henderson has a real shot to be the most-owned player on the slate, making Stafford a terrific leverage play. His price might not scream value, but Stafford is only the 6th-highest priced QB on the slate.

Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders vs. Philadelphia Eagles ($6,000):

Again, slim pickings among true values this week, but the Raiders showed something last week in Denver after the tumultuous week that preceded the game. Carr has topped 24 DK points in 4 of 6 games this year. No, really, I looked it up. Josh Jacobs is having a nice season himself, but he is not dominating touches by any means, so Carr should be good to keep slinging it all over the field.

Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins, ($5,700):

A QB coming off a London game (and a bye) who has put two really solid fantasy games together his last two times out and no one remembers either of them outside Atlanta. The Dolphins should offer little resistance, making him an actual solid value play, if you can stomach clicking his name.

Running Back

Chuba Hubbard Headshot

Chuba Hubbard, Carolina Panthers at New York Giants ($6,100):

Hubbard has been a godsend for the Panthers with Christian McCaffrey out again for extended weeks. Even as he’s excelled in the starting role, his price has remained pretty static. He gets a dream matchup this week against the woeful Giants run defense. All eyes will be on Sam Darnold’s return to MetLife Stadium, but Hubbard should get all the headlines when this one is over.

J.D. McKissic, Washington Football Team vs. Green Bay Packers ($5,000):

Everything appears to be coming up McKissic again this week: Antonio Gibson is just as injured as he has been the past few weeks and is likely to be ineffectual. The Packers will likely play with the lead for long stretches of the game, making McKissic’s pass-catching role paramount to the Washington attack. McKissic was targeted TEN TIMES last week. You can’t pass that up at 5K.

Michael Carter, New York Jets at New England Patriots ($4,800):

Carter is another player who was last seen two weeks ago in London, so he’s fallen about as far off the radar as any decently-producing player on the slate. And he has been producing decently, with double-digit DK points in 3 of the past 4 games and a season-high 14.8 in London. The Patriots are mediocre at best stopping the run, so the fresh-legged rookie should make it another solid afternoon.

Wide Receiver

Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears ($5,900):

This is Godwin’s lowest salary of the season. He hasn’t popped off for a big game since Week 2, has just one receiving TD, and hasn’t topped 19 points all season. If you’re going to give him to me at sub-6K, I’m willing to bet all the bills come due on Sunday. He’s simply too talented and in too good a spot to go without a breakout this long.

Jalen Waddle, Miami Dolphins vs. Atlanta Falcons ($5,600):

Waddle has had three bust-out performances this season and two came in the only two games Tua Tagovialoa played beginning-to-end. I know, small-sample size, but I really don’t think we can call it a coincidence that Waddle goes off when Tua is throwing him the ball.

Hunter Renfrow, Las Vegas Raiders vs. Philadelphia Eagles ($4,800):

I’m really hoping everyone has a short memory this week, as Renfrow turned in his first dud of the season last week in Denver while the rest of the offense had a collective great game. Renfrow has been downright Edelman-esque this season, with at least seven targets in 4 of 5 games before last week. Get him while no one is looking.

Tight End

Mike Gesicki, Miami Dolphins vs. Atlanta Falcons ($4,700):

The sub-3K options this week are either thin or too chalky for GPPs. This middle zone of the price structure is where we’re looking for tight end options this week. Gesicki went off last week in London, so, like with Matt Ryan, maybe folks didn’t see it, or are writing off the Miami offense in general. Either way, Gesicki remains essentially the WR2 in this offense and has at least six targets in five straight games.

Hunter Henry, New England Patriots vs. New York Jets ($4,100):

We loved Henry last week at $3,900 and he delivered with a touchdown and his third straight double-digit DK performance. With the running game mediocre and the receiving corps merely adequate, Henry is going to remain a high-quality target for Mac Jones, especially in the red zone. The Jets are 23rd in points allowed to tight ends. Rinse. Repeat.

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