NFL Week 5 DFS Cheat Sheet: Wide Receiver Breakdown

NFL Week 5 DFS Wide Receiver Must Plays

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NFL Week 5 DFS Cheat Sheet: Wide Receiver Breakdown

Davante Adams (Fanduel $8200)

Green Bay Packers wide receiver Davante Adams enters week five as Fanduel’s most expensive pass catcher. Through four games, the veteran wideout is averaging 14.69 FFPG. Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers seems dead set on making Adams a must-play in DFS as he is 2nd in the NFL in target share. So far, he has been thrown to on 35.7% of his team’s passing plays.

One thing to consider before automatically rostering Davante Adams is Cincinnati’s track record against number one receivers. So far, the Bengals are ranked 4th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to a team’s top receiving options. Last week, Cincinnati most frequently used Trae Waynes on Jaguars receiver Marvin Jones Jr. If they take the same approach in week five, Davante Adams should be in line for a big game. Not only does Adams have history against Waynes from his time in Minnesota, but among NFL cornerbacks he ranks 150th in yards allowed per reception and 70th in yards allowed.

Pass TypeCompleteTargetsCompletion PercentageYards
SHORT RIGHT14160.875000107
DEEP RIGHT240.50000081
DEEP LEFT360.50000057
SHORT LEFT7110.63636450
DEEP MIDDLE230.66666747
SHORT MIDDLE340.75000031
Davante Adams Production By Pass Type

Justin Jefferson (Fanduel $8000)

Minnesota Vikings wideout Justin Jefferson enters week five as the second most expensive option on Fanduel. Through four games, Jefferson has a target share of 24.5% just ahead of teammate Adam Thielen’s 22.5%. For fantasy purposes, this can be concerning, as on any given week, it could be Thielen putting up big numbers over Jefferson. But, so far there has been plenty of opportunities to go around as the Vikings rank 8th in the NFL in pass plays per game.

Jefferson’s opponent, the Detroit Lions rank 26th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to number one receivers. Top pass catchers are averaging three points above average when facing Detroit. In place of injured cornerback Jeff Okudah, the Lions have relied on Amani Oruwariye against top wideouts. The former 5th round draft pick is giving up 42.5 yards per game, ranking 131st among NFL cornerbacks. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 130.4 when targeting Oruwariye.

Pass TypeCompleteTargetsCompletion PercentageYards
SHORT MIDDLE670.857143126
SHORT LEFT9110.81818296
SHORT RIGHT9120.75000065
DEEP RIGHT240.50000051
DEEP LEFT030.0000000
Justin Jefferson Production By Pass Type

Terry McLaurin (Fanduel $7400)

A little further down the list of receiving options is Washington Football Team receiver, Terry McLaurin. This week I expect McLaurin to be overlooked by most DFS contestants. The Washington Football Team and New Orlean Saints have an over-under total of 43.5, one of the NFL’s lowest of the week. It is easy to assume this will translate to a lack of DFS scoring, but I expect McLaurin to prove that wrong.

Heading into his matchup with the Saints, the Washington wideout is averaging 19.6 FFPG, ranking 6th in the NFL. At just $7400, McLaurin is this week’s 9th most expensive receiver. Quarterback Taylor Heinicke has targeted his number one receiver on 30.9% of his throws, 9th most in the league. What makes the 3rd year player so tough to defend is his ability to catch balls all over the field. With Heinicke as the quarterback, McLaurin has caught 100% of his targets on short throws to the middle and right sides of the field. However, he is also able to stretch defenses deep, ranking 14th in the NFL in air yards.

The main reason I am high on Terry McLaurin is his matchup against the New Orleans Saints secondary. Through four games, the Saints ranked last in fantasy points allowed to number-one receivers. New Orleans has relied on cornerback Paulson Adebo to slow down the team’s top wideouts. So far, this has not gone to plan as Adebo is giving up 71.25 yards per game. The rookie cornerback has allowed three touchdowns and an average of 16.1 FFPG.

Pass TypeCompleteTargetsCompletion PercentageYards
DEEP LEFT460.666667103
SHORT LEFT5110.45454570
DEEP MIDDLE331.00000061
SHORT MIDDLE551.00000060
SHORT RIGHT881.00000060
DEEP RIGHT030.0000000
Terry McLaurin Production By Pass Type

DeVonta Smith (Fanduel $6000)

One of my favorite DFS tournament wide receiver picks is Philadelphia Eagles receiver, DeVonta Smith. The rookie wideout is averaging 9.67 FPPG on a healthy target share of 22.5%. When taking flyers on less expensive options, it is always wise to find players with the ability to rack up points quickly. By this criteria, Smith is an excellent choice as he ranks 9th in the NFL in air yards. His average target distance of 14.6 yards placing him 13th in the league. What is most encouraging about Devonta Smith is that he is not only living up to his reputation as a deep threat but is also giving Jalen Hurts an option underneath. So far, the duo’s most productive pass attempts have been on short throws to the sidelines. These targets have accounted for 65% of Smith’s receiving yardage.

The Carolina Panthers defense is ranked 19th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to number one receivers. Through four weeks top wideouts are averaging nearly 12 FPPG against Carolina’s secondary. The big question heading into week five is how quickly the Panthers throw their newest addition, Stephon Gilmore into the mix. If Carolina isn’t able to get Gilmore up to speed, DeVonta Smith will spend a lot of time against cornerback Donte Jackson. This season, Jackson has given up an average of 8.9 FFPG allowing just one touchdown. However, opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 113.3 when targeting the former second-round pick.

Leading up to Sunday, one piece of news I will be closely monitoring is the expected usage of Stephon Gilmore. If the Panthers plan to use him in a limited capacity, I will be adding Devonta Smith to a majority of my lineups in both cash games and tournaments.

Pass TypeCompleteTargetsCompletion PercentageYards
SHORT RIGHT9120.75000096
SHORT LEFT560.83333359
DEEP RIGHT250.40000058
DEEP LEFT150.20000018
SHORT MIDDLE111.0000006
DEEP MIDDLE010.0000000
DeVonta Smith Production By Pass Type

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