NFL Week 14 Ownership And Performance Recap
- In just his second start, Taysom Hill was the top owned QB with an aversge of 24% across all contest formats.
- Josh Allen finished as the top producing QB with 36.2 fantasy points. Allen was rostered in 11% of all DFS lineups.
- Competing against Allen and the Bills, Tom Brady was second among quarterback as 30 FPTS while being owned at a rate of 5.7%.
- Patrick Mahomes entered the week as the 2nd most expensive QB. Mahomes ended 9th at his position with 20.32 points.
Kyler Murray (FanDuel $8800) vs Josh Allen ($8700)
This week’s two most expensive quarterback options feature Kyler Murray, who was week 13th’s top producing QB, and Josh Allen who is coming off a huge game vs Tampa Bay. Which player is most likely to have another big week?
Will Murray And The Cardinals Pile It On Vs Detroit?
Heading into week 15, Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray will be playing in his 11th game of the season. In his second season, Murray has thrown for 2782 yards on a completion percentage of 71.6%. In terms of fantasy production, he comes into this game as the 4th best scoring quarterback at 23.5 points per contest.
In his most recent game against the Rams, Murray had a big game through the air, but not being able to find the endzone left him at just 19.4 fantasy points. In the contest, the Cardinals threw the ball 49 times, easily their highest amount of the year. For DFS players, it was a good sign to see Murray have another big game on the ground as he rushed for 61 yards. This figure comes after picking up 59 yards in his big game vs Chicago.
Last week’s pass-heavy game plan was out of the ordinary for Arizona as they average just 32 dropbacks per game, ranking 24th in the NFL. Even though Murray has had fewer opportunities than most quarterbacks, he is not afraid to look down the field. In his 10 games of action, the Cardinals QB leads all players at his position in yards per attempt.
Given that the only thing holding Murray back from a big fantasy game vs the Rams was his lack of touchdowns, this week he is a great candidate to have a big game. In week 15, the Cardinals face off with a Detroit defense giving up 27.2 points per game, 3rd most in the NFL. Coming into the game, the Lions are giving up 17.35 fantasy points per game to opposing QB’s. From a fantasy perspective, the Lions don’t appear to be an ideal matchup for a quarterback. However, a lot of this has to do with the fact that teams have opted to keep the ball on the ground. On average, Detroit’s opponents hand the ball off 32 times per game, most in the NFL. However, what makes Kyler Murray such an intriguing fantasy player is his ability to rack up points in multiple ways. Look for the Cardinals to put up a lot of points vs the Lions, with Murray being a great candidate to both throw and run for multiple scores.
Is Josh Allen In Line For A Repeat Performance?
Coming into his week 15 matchup with Carolina, Josh Allen is the NFL’s top-rated fantasy quarterback at 24.4 points per game. Overall, Allen has thrown for 3524 yards on 493 attempts with 28 of these passes leading to touchdown receptions. In addition to his work through the air, the Bills QB has rushed for 531 yards, something that often gets overlooked as Allen is such a prolific passer.
After a disappointing performance against the New England Patriots, Josh Allen responded in a big way, finishing with 36.2 fantasy points vs Tampa Bay. After falling behind early, Allen put the team on his back, throwing for 308 yards and 2 touchdowns. He was also able to do some damage on the ground, surpassing 100 yards for the first time this season.
In last week’s game, the Buffalo Bills dropped back to pass 54 times, their highest total of the season. However, this game plan was not out of their ordinary for a team ranked 6th in pass plays per game. Overall, Allen is the 5th ranked quarterback in attempts. With his elevated number of opportunities, the Bills QB is not afraid to look down the field as his 62 deep ball attempts are 4th most in the NFL. Allen has shown the ability to be efficient with the deep ball, ranking 1st in completed air yards.
This week, Josh Allen faces off with a Panthers defense giving up an average of just 15 fantasy points per game to opposing QB’s. Even though Carolina is struggling to pick up wins, they have been able to hold quarterbacks to mediocre statistical games. Last week, the unit gave up just 11.9 fantasy points to Matt Ryan. So far, Panthers’ opponents are throwing the ball just 53% of the time, 3rd fewest in the NFL. This number is a key reason why Carolina is the top-rated passing yard defense, giving up 177 yards per contest.
Take Murray vs The Lions
If you are trying to decide between Kyler Murray and Josh Allen, I recommend paying the higher price and rolling with Murray. Even though the Cardinals are likely to be playing with a significant lead, Murray has the ability to rack up a lot of fantasy points early on. In his two after returning from an injury, it appears that the QB is at full strength. Given that Arizona should spend a lot of time in the red zone, Murray is a threat to rack up points through the air and with his legs. Another factor in this decision is the health of Josh Allen. Although all indications point to Allen playing in Sunday’s game, a foot injury has the ability to limit his fantasy production on the ground.
Same Team Stack Option
If you are looking to stack players from the same team, I recommend pairing Kyler Murray with Chase Edmonds. It appears that Jame Conner will miss week 15 with an ankle injury, meaning an increased role for Edmonds. As long as Edmonds is also good to play, he provides a great value at $6500. Arizona should have no shortage of opportunities to score, and I’m looking to capitalize with Murray and Edmonds.