Week 13 of the NFL season is upon us and with it the DraftKings Millionaire contest. This $20 slate has a prize pool of $3.25 million, with a cool million going to the winner. We take a look at the best value plays on the slate, offering salary flexibility to go for the big prize:
Carson Wentz, Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans ($6,100):
I was a big proponent of using Wentz last week against Tampa and he rewarded me with a 26-point effort despite being a turnover machine. I would like to think he could dial up another such performance, without the picks and fumbles, as a leverage play over his backfield mate Jonathan Taylor. It should be noted that as Wentz went off last week, Taylor had his fewest DK points in a game since Week 3. That leverage play worked last week. It could again.
Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders vs. Washington Football Team ($6,000):
I think we were all ready to bury the Raiders heading into Thanksgiving Day, but they showed a lot of heart and resilience in knocking off the Cowboys, and now they’ve had 10 days to prepare, while Washington is coming off a short week and traveling cross-country. Even without Darren Waller, I think Carr has enough weapons to put up a big number against the team allowing the most fantasy points to quarterbacks in the league.
Antonio Gibson, Washington FT at Las Vegas Raiders ($5,700):
I love the Raiders stack this week, and I love the bring-back option even more. Gibson looked as good as he has all season on Monday night, and now it appears the Football Team will not have the services of J.D. McKissic this week. That clears the deck for Gibson to dominate touches in this game. He had 29 carries and seven targets against the Seahawks, and the Raiders are similarly terrible defending the run. This is great chalk if used with a low-owned Raiders stack.
Jamaal Williams, Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings ($5,400):
It’s even more chalk with Williams, who takes over for the injured D’Andre Swift. Alexander Mattison would have been equally as chalky here, but DraftKings had the news of Dalvin Cook’s injury status early enough to jack Mattison’s price to $7,200. Williams didn’t get a bump, so his discount price is going to make him popular. But the volume should certainly be there, as he had 20 carries/targets last Thursday and Swift didn’t get hurt until the second quarter.
Miles Sanders, Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets ($5,200):
The Jets have one of the worst run defenses in the league, right there with Seattle for awfulness. The Eagles have become Ground And Pound ‘21. And now, we have Boston Scott unable to practice Thursday or Friday with a non-Covid illness. Sanders burned us last week, and that will only lower his ownership even more. But if ever the opportunity to smash was there, this is it.
Jaylen Waddle, Miami Dolphins vs. New York Giants ($6,400):
There are 13 wide receivers priced higher than Waddle this week. There will not be 13 wide receivers who put up more points than Waddle, I am willing to bet. The guy is becoming a stud before our eyes and having his college QB throwing him the ball has clearly enhanced his abilities. The only thing holding him back is the lack of touchdowns, but he scored his first one in six weeks last Sunday. All systems go in Miami.
Darnell Mooney, Chicago Bears vs. Arizona Cardinals ($5,600):
As long as Andy Dalton is the starter and Allan Robinson is sitting, Mooney is a smash candidate. He has back-to-back games with 125 yards receiving and has topped 20 DK points in three straight games. The Cardinals are certainly no slouch on defense, but Dalton only has eyes for Mooney right now, and it’s clicking big-time.
Jimmy Graham, Chicago Bears vs. Arizona Cardinals ($2,900):
I’m going to stay on the Andy Dalton theme here. While Cole Kmet ($3,600) was also very active last week, it should be noted that Graham had a touchdown and Dalton is keeping him in the mix with three targets in three straight games. He’s not a huge discount off Kmet, but maybe big enough to help make some tough decisions elsewhere in your lineup.
James O’Shaughnessy, Jacksonville Jaguars at Los Angeles Rams ($2,600):
Dan Arnold out, O’Shaugnessy in. The hope here is people will write off this spot with Arnold out and not realize O’Shaughnessy was also a prime Trevor Lawrence target in his one full game in Week 1 (eight targets) and in relief last week (five targets).