We’ve got a four-game slate in the association this Thursday. A few of the games don’t have a total yet as I write this. I will go into some of the best plays for DFS as it stands with what we know now. With the crazy state of the NBA these days, much is subject to change by the slate lock. Stay tuned to the news and be ready to adjust accordingly.
DET (100) @ IND (110.5)
For Detroit, we have some decent value on DraftKings with Trey Lyles and Saddiq Bey. You could consider the likes of Frank Jackson, Isaiah Stewart, Killian Hayes, or Hamidou Diallo, but none really stand out. Cade Cunningham is the player with the most ceiling, but he is not a particularly good play at his hefty $8,600 price tag. However, this should lower ownership, and he could be a good GPP option. Bey is the only player with an excellent FanDuel points-per-dollar projection. Still, you could consider Lyles or Stewart as well.
Chris Duarte, Myles Turner, and Oshae Brissett are all offering good value on DraftKings. Malcolm Brogdon, Domantas Sabonis, and Caris LeVert are priced too high to be good points-per-dollar plays but could be considered in tournaments for their upside. Myles Turner is a standout play on FanDuel, and Caris LeVert continues to be underpriced.
PHI (N/A) @ BKN (N/A)
This game might have the potential for a good bit of scoring and a close matchup, but we’re not really getting great value plays on Philadelphia for the most part. At $3,100, Matisse Thybulle might serve as a decent savings option if better plays don’t present themselves throughout the day. Joel Embiid is the only other Sixer I would really look at, outside of perhaps Tobias Harris. Harris and Seth Curry are better options on FanDuel. I would not be surprised if Tobias Harris is a highly-owned FanDuel play on this four-game slate.
With so many Brooklyn players slated to miss this game, it is chock full of value. Nicolas Claxton, David Duke Jr., Kessler Edwards, and Day’Ron Sharp are all great sources of savings. Kevin Durant will also be a top spend-up on the slate as the number one Net without James Harden on the court. FanDuel did an excellent job of pricing all these guys up after Brooklyn’s last game. No one stands out as much for value, but Durant will undoubtedly be a top option there as well.
NYK (N/A) @ HOU (N/A)
RJ Barrett is questionable for the Knicks, but we will presume he will be out as industry projections currently assume. Under the current assumption, Derrick Rose, Evan Fournier, and Nerlens Noel would all be excellent value options. If Barrett plays, Rose and Fournier take a hit. Alec Burks is also a decent play here, and Julius Randle is the absolute alpha in New York with Barrett out. Still, his price does not make him an excellent choice here from a points-per-dollar perspective. The above guys are fantastic FanDuel options, with Randle projecting better for the price. Burks is the best FanDuel play, and Mitchell Robinson also looks good there.
Christian Wood and Kevin Porter Jr. are currently questionable for Houston. I am projecting them out according to current industry projections. Alperen Sengun and Daniel Theis would really stand out on DraftKings in the absence of Wood. If Wood plays, they become largely irrelevant. KJ Martin and Garrison Mathews are also decent DK plays. Alperen Sengun, Armani Brooks, Jae’Sean Tate, and Garrison Mathews would be excellent plays on FanDuel, assuming Wood and Porter do not play. If one or more of them suit up, it will cut into the value of these ancillary pieces considerably. Wood and Porter Jr. could be solid options if there are no restrictions.
WAS (N/A) @ PHX (N/A)
Spencer Dinwiddie is expected to rest for Washington on Thursday due to the back-to-back, which should open up Aaron Holiday to start and become a solid DFS option. Bradley Beal also gets a substantial usage bump. Montrezl Harrell and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope are also decent values on DraftKings. Harrell is also a solid FanDuel play. His minutes aren’t great, but his price is down on both sites, and he has immense per-minute upside when he gets going.
Landry Shamet and Cameron Payne continue to be solid DraftKings values in the absence of Devin Booker. Chris Paul becomes the primary facilitator of offense, although he doesn’t project that well for the price tag on DK. You could also consider Deandre Ayton or JaVale McGee (if not playing Ayton). Mikal Bridges stands out at his FanDuel price of $4,800.
I'm a DFS player (JackG1111), DFS content provider, and musician.
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