NBA DFS First Look For DraftKings And FanDuel – 12/11/2021

489

Today we have a six-game midsized slate in the NBA. This is just big enough that we don’t have to worry as much about getting significantly off the board in GPPs, but it is also a lot simpler to parse through our options. Let’s go game by game.

UTA (113) @ WAS (107)

With current pricing, Royce O’Neale is the only real value standing out for the Jazz on either site. Donovan Mitchell on FanDuel is the best other play from Utah. They have a lot of capable bodies and tend to spread the load around. Rudy Gobert always has upside, and guys like Bogdan Bogdanovic and Mike Conley can always pay off their price tag. Still, nothing here is particularly significant for DFS.

Daniel Gafford, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, and Kyle Kuzma look like decent value options on DraftKings. While no one else seems particularly great, Montrezl Harrell, Spencer Dinwiddie, and of course, Bradley Beal can always pay off in DFS. The value is worse on FanDuel, where no Washington player is a great play.

UPDATE

Kyle Kuzma has been unexpectedly ruled out. We will have to see how industry aggregate projections shake out. At first glance, this should give a general usage bump to other starters and may open up playing time for Deni Avdija and Davis Bertans. Montrezl Harrell could benefit as well.

SAC (107.75) @ CLE (114.25)

The Kings are priced unusually low on DraftKings today. Terence Davis, Davion Mitchell, Tristan Thompson, Tyrese Haliburton, Harrison Barnes, Marvin Bagley III, and Alex Len are excellent options. Buddy Hield, De’Aaron Fox, and Moe Harkless are the only Sacramento players that are not priced to provide value. Not that you can’t always play Fox in tournaments. Richaun Holmes’ absence opens up Thompson/Len/Bagley to provide value. However, I would generally not play them together due to the time split. On FanDuel, it is the complete opposite, and there isn’t a single good play from a points-per-dollar standpoint. Of course, you can take a shot on guys like Fox and Barnes in GPPs.

We have some decent DraftKings value on the Cavs side of the ball, making this a decent game to target overall. Basically, everyone is playable outside of Cedi Osman and Dean Wade. The top plays are Ricky Rubio, Evan Mobley, Isaac Okoro, Lauri Markkanen, and Kevin Love. Markannen and Mobley are the standout options on FanDuel.

HOU (106.25) @ MEM (114.25)

Garrison Mathews, Armani Brooks, Jae’Sean Tate, and KJ Martin are good DraftKings values for the Rockets today. Christian Wood is a less than optimal points-per-dollar play, but his upside is always tangible in GPPs. On FanDuel, Brooks and Tate are the plays, but Wood also looks a lot better at his FD price.

For Memphis, De’Anthony Melton and Steven Adams really pop off the screen as top values here. Jaren Jackson Jr., Desmond Bane, Tyus Jones, and Xavier Tillman are also possibilities. Tillman may not get many minutes, but it doesn’t take much to pay off his $3,400 price tag. All the DK plays rarely apply on FanDuel, but all these guys are the values there as well. Adams and Jackson are the top FD choices.

UPDATE

Dillon Brooks has been ruled available, which will cut into this value. Brooks himself should become a solid points-per-dollar play once industry projections update. He gets a lot of usage with Ja Morant off the court.

CHI (105) @ MIA (106)

Troy Brown Jr. is the only solid value play for Chicago on DraftKings. Still, of course, Lonzo Ball, Nikola Vucevic, and Zach LaVine are tournament options. The situation is about the same on FanDuel. This is not a great game environment to target, and the Bulls are priced mainly appropriately.

We are getting a ton of value for Miami due to Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo remaining out. Caleb Martin, P.J. Tucker, Duncan Robinson, and Kyle Lowry are the top choices. Of course, Tyler Herro gets a boost, but he is priced up and may not start based on the Heat’s last game. The same plays essentially apply to FanDuel, although Herro is a better choice at his price of $6,600, and Duncan Robinson falls out of consideration from a value standpoint.

GSW (107.75) @ PHI (104.75)

The Warriors are very cut-and-dried for DFS. The only players that play even remotely usable minutes on a nightly basis are Jordan Poole, Andrew Wiggins, Stephen Curry, and Draymond Green. None are providing much value tonight on DK outside of Poole being half-decent. Curry has tremendous upside, but the $11,600 price is prohibitive. Wiggins and Green are bordering on decently playable on FanDuel.

We have no excellent plays for Philadelphia on DraftKings. They are priced appropriately, and this is a tough matchup against Golden State. If anyone, you would consider Joel Embiid, Danny Green, or Tobias Harris. Embiid is a better play on FanDuel at $10,600, and you could consider Harris.

DEN (110) @ SAS (109)

Denver is a pretty spread-out team, and there’s not a lot to love when Jokic is on the court. I’d basically play Jokic on DraftKings if playing a Nugget and call it a day. You could vaguely consider Jeff Green at $4,800. It’s different on FanDuel, where Will Barton and Aaron Gordon are bordering on value at their respective prices. The Joker is always in play on both sites.

Nothing stands out on the San Antonio side of the ball, but Jakob Poeltl, Derrick White, and Dejounte Murray would be the best options on DraftKings if you were going to go there. Lonnie Walker IV and Drew Eubanks (if not playing Poeltl) could be in consideration also. Poeltl, Murray, and Keldon Johnson are the viable FanDuel Spurs here.

Sports Analyst at | + posts

I'm a DFS player (JackG1111), DFS content provider, and musician.