Everything in this article is based on the current information available. Much is subject to change on this NBA slate as news comes out throughout the day. Please adjust your lineups accordingly.
MIA (108.5) @ DET (98.5)
On the Miami side, we’re not getting much standout value outside of P.J. Tucker on DraftKings. While his point-per-dollar grade looks good, we all know that Tucker is a volatile fantasy asset who may do a lot of nothing in DFS with his minutes. Of course, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, and Tyler Herro are playable on any given night. Still, none qualify as precise smash plays here. There is also a lot of blowout risk, and this may be a game where players don’t reach their ceilings.
With Isaiah Stewart suspended after the bizarre LeBron James situation, Detroit will be down their typical big men with Kelly Olynyk out as well. You’d think there’d be good value at Center, but it seems likely that Luke Garza and Trey Lyles share minutes at the five, and some smaller lineups could be employed. We may only get sub-20s minutes for each.
Our most considerable value on both sites is actually going to be Cory Joseph with Killian Hayes nursing a thumb injury. He’s another guy who tends not to do much on the court for DFS even when he gets minutes, but the value is undeniable. Hamidou Diallo is an excellent value on DraftKings specifically. No one else on Detroit particularly pops off the page for value. Still, you can undoubtedly play Cade Cunningham, Saddiq Bey, Jerami Grant, and perhaps Frank Jackson. Detroit players, in general, should get somewhat of a boost due to multiple vital pieces being out.
LAL (105) @ NYK (109.5)
With LeBron James suspended after the crazy Isaiah Stewart situation, Talen Horton-Tucker should enter the starting lineup. He is back in our lives after a brief hiatus with the return of James as a great value piece for the Lakers. Anthony Davis and Russell Westbrook become more relevant as well, with fewer mouths to feed. Carmelo Anthony enters into fringe playable territory with more usage and minutes to go around. All in all, this is a pretty good situation to attack due to James’ absence.
The Knicks are consistently terrible for fantasy year after year. They spread their minutes around and have little consistency with how they are distributed. Julius Randle and RJ Barrett are the only consistent players in terms of minutes. Barrett is a consistently middling fantasy play who will often look decent for the price and fill a small forward position yet lacks much fantasy production potential.
No one else on the team is projected for minutes over the mid-20s, but Alec Burks is a good value play on both sites. Derrick Rose also looks decent on DraftKings specifically. He is currently questionable and could sit, making Immanuel Quickley more of an option. He is already a solid value on DK and would become all the more as the prime backup point guard.
DEN (103.75) @ POR (109.75)
Nikola Jokic may or may not play as he continues to nurse a sore wrist. If he suits up, he would be a top spend-up on this slate. Aaron Gordon and Will Barton have been priced up on DraftKings and would only become good plays with Jokic out. It would also take Jokic’s absence for them to offer solid value on FanDuel. Facundo Campazzo and Monte Morris are good point-per-dollar plays on DraftKings and would look even better with Jokic out. The two Greens in Jeff and JyMychal would see a substantial boost with Jokic out since they’d get the majority of the center minutes.
It is interesting to see Portland favored over the Nuggets. However, Denver is pretty banged up and could be without Joker, so it does make some sense. On DraftKings, we have a lot of value with Portland’s ancillary pieces. Larry Nance Jr., Norman Powell, Anfernee Simons, and Nassir Little are all decent plays here. Of course, CJ McCollum and Damian Lillard can always be played on both sites for their upside.
Jusuf Nurkic can always spike a big game, but his minutes have just not been there this year. On FanDuel, no one particularly stands out for value on Portland. I’d mainly just focus on the critical pieces with minutes in Lillard, McCollum, and Powell.
DAL (102.25) @ LAC (107.75)
With Luka Doncic doubtful, we continue to have some excellent value on Dallas. Jalen Brunson and Tim Hardaway Jr. are the main value pieces. Maxi Kleber and Dwight Powell also offer good point-per-dollar ratings on DraftKings. While Kristaps Porzingis is the alpha in Dallas without Luka, his price is high enough to not grade out that well for value. He’s still in play for sure.
Ivica Zubac and Reggie Jackson are excellent values on both sites for the Clippers. Paul George is a decent point-per-dollar spend-up on DraftKings but really stands out on FanDuel at $9,200. He’ll undoubtedly be popular. Despite him consistently scoring 40-50 fantasy points, George hasn’t, for the most part, shown the immense upside you might expect with Kawhi out. He does, however, offer a consistent floor, and the upside game could come at any time.
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