John Deere Classic 2021: Odds Preview


Setting the scene

The PGA Tour makes one final stop at TPC Deere Run to play the John Deere Classic, as many look forward to the 2021 Open Championship. Due to the COVID-19 epidemic, the event was canceled in 2020. TPC Deere Run is a par 71, 7,268-yard course in Silvis, Illinois.

The course has generally failed to provide a significant challenge to golfers with easy-to-hit fairways and bentgrass greens. The majority of competitors will hit short approach shots into the greens, turning the event into a putting contest. The John Deere Classic will include 156 golfers, a significantly smaller field than we’ve seen so far this season.

Many of the world’s best players are either competing in the Scottish Open or taking a week off to prepare for the Open Championship. Daniel Berger, Sungjae I’m, Brian Harman, Kevin Streelman, Si Woo Kim, Kevin Na, and Russell Henley are among the noteworthy golfers that will travel to the Midwest.

Betting Angles

Since 1993, there has only been one clear champion, Michael Kim, who won by eight strokes in 2018. The other champions throughout that period all won by one, two, or three strokes, including playoffs. That statistic will pique the interest of bettors who like seeking value in golf in-play betting.

When betting on the final day, look for individuals near the top of the standings who have also won prestigious titles along the home stretch.

The John Deere Classic will include more shootouts and low scores, similar to last week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic, which saw more huge longshots on the leaderboard on Sunday. This increases the number of players with lengthier golf betting odds who can make the cut and compete for a top finish or victory. TPC Deere Run has seen five first-time champions in the last nine years.

Horses for Courses

From the championship tees, the course is a Par 71 that spans almost 7,200 yards. The John Deere Classic is traditionally held the week before the British Open. TPC Deere Run is consistently rated as one of the easiest Par 71s on Tour, with high percentages of fairways hit and greens in regulation each year. It doesn’t matter how far or in which direction you hit the ball off the tee.

Low scores have been the norm in the past, with the average winning score slightly shy of -20 since 2000.

From 2009 through 2011, Steve Stricker won the tournament three times in a row, shooting a -26 in 2010. (258). Michael Kim set a tournament record by shooting a total of -27 (257) in 2018, finishing eight strokes ahead of his closest competitors. Proximity to Hole, Strokes Gained Putting, and Par 4 Scoring Average is essential data to examine this week.

Where’s the Money?

Let’s now look at the betting for the week ahead:

Daniel Berger 9-1
Brian Harman 14-1
Sungjae Im 16-1
Russell Henley 18-1
Kevin Streelman 22-1
Cameron Davis 28-1
Alex Noren 30-1
Seamus Power 33-1
Si-Woo Kim 33-1
Troy Merritt 40-1
Maverick McNealy 40-1
Ryan Moore 40-1
Hank Lebioda 40-1
Zach Johnson 40-1
Patton Kizzire 40-1
Steve Stricker 40-1
Aaron Wise 40-1
Kevin Na 40-1
Lucas Glover 50-1
Doug Ghim 50-1
Jhonattan Vegas 50-1
Doc Redman 50-1
Kyle Stanley 50-1
Harold Varner 55-1
Chez Reavie 60-1
Sepp Straka 60-1
Sebastian Munoz 60-1
Tom Lewis 66-1
Dylan Frittelli 66-1
Charles Howell 66-1
Beau Hossler 66-1
Richy Werenski 66-1
J.T. Poston 66-1
Pat Perez 70-1
Erik Van Rooyen 70-1
Patrick Rodgers 70-1
Mito Pereira 80-1
C.T. Pan 80-1
Keith Mitchell 80-1
Luke List 80-1
Kramer Hickok 80-
Scott Stallings 80-1
Henrik Norlander 90-1
Mark Hubbard 90-1
Brice Garnett 100-1
Roger Sloan 100-1
Brian Stuard 125-1
Hudson Swafford 125-1
Nick Taylor 125-1
Byeong Hun An 125-1
Bo Hoag 125-1
Satoshi Kodaira 125-1
Denny McCarthy 125-1
Ryan Armour 125-1
Matthew NeSmith 125-1
Michael Thompson 125-1
Andrew Putnam 125-1
Robert Streb 125-1
Scott Piercy 125-1
Jim Herman 125-1
Chesson Hadley 125-1
Cameron Champ 125-1
Tyler Duncan 125-1
Vaughn Taylor 125-1
Brandon Hagy 125-1
Harry Higgs 150-1
John Huh 150-1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 150-1
Andrew Landry 150-1
Vincent Whaley 150-1
Martin Laird 150-1
Will Gordon 150-1
Mark Anderson 150-1
Rory Sabbatini 150-1
Ben Martin 150-1
Adam Schenk 150-1
Danny Lee 150-1
Adam Long 150-1
Joseph Bramlett 150-1
Sam Ryder 150-1
Bronson Burgoon 175-1
Richard S. Johnson 200-1
Johnson Wagner 200-1
Camilo Villegas 200-1
Wes Roach 200-1
Anirban Lahiri 200-1
Fabian Gomez 200-1
Cameron Percy 200-1
Peter Malnati 200-1
J.J. Spaun 200-1
Kevin Tway 200-1
Jason Dufner 200-1
Sean O’Hair 200-1
Scott Brown 200-1
J.B. Holmes 200-1
Aaron Baddeley 250-1
Chris Baker 250-1
Austin Cook 250-1
Bill Haas 250-1
Sung-Hoon Kang 250-1
Josh Teater 250-1
Chase Seiffert 250-1
Sangmoon Bae 300-1
Kris Ventura 300-1
David Lingmerth 300-1
Rhein Gibson 300-1
Jonas Blixt 300-1
Andres Romero 300-1
Bo Van Pelt 300-1
George McNeill 300-1
Ted Potter 300-1
Robby Shelton 300-1
Shawn Stefani 300-1
Nick Watney 300-1
Michael Gellerman 300-1
Scott Harrington 350-1
Jonathan Byrd 350-1
Martin Trainer 400-1
David Hearn 400-1
Kevin Stadler 400-1
Greg Chalmers 400-1
Sebastian Cappelen 400-1
Rob Oppenheim 400-1
Michael Gligic 400-1
Chad Proehl 500-1
John Senden 500-1
K.J. Choi 500-1
Luke Kluver 500-1
Dominic Bozzelli 500-1
Charlie Beljan 500-1
Grayson Murray 500-1
Nelson Ledesma 500-1
Brian Gay 500-1
Ryan Blaum 500-1
D.J. Trahan 500-1
Matt Every 500-1
Michael Kim 500-1
Ben Taylor 500-1
Ryan Brehm 500-1
Alex Schaake 500-1
Hunter Mahan 500-1
Rafael Campos 500-1
Michael Feagles 500-1
Ricky Barnes 500-1
Zack Sucher 500-1
Willie Mack 500-1
David Perkins 1000-1
D.A. Points 1000-1
Jason Bohn 1000-1
Mark Wilson 1000-1
Harrison Frazar 1000-1

Freelance Sports Writer | + posts

Hey Guys

My name is Dean, AKA The Stat Man. I am a Sports Betting Analyst who uses math, algorithms, probability and logic to create my posts. I specialize in many sports, with Golf being the primary focus. You can find a lot of my work on various websites but the best content is found here on Beer Life.

I live in the UK, on the outskirts of London but my background and heritage is Irish. I'm an avid Manchester United fan who sees following them as a religion. Sport is pretty much my life, as I live and breathe it daily. If there is something I don't know it's probably not worth knowing as I have over 20 years industry experience and insight.

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