Recap of Last Weeks Bets
|To Win||Corey Conners||Lost|
|Top 5 Finish||Matther Wolff||Lost|
|Tournament Match Bet||Talor Gooch||Lost|
|Top 10 Finish||Seamus Power||Lost|
Profit/Loss (This week) – Loss of $40 to a $10 Stake
Profit/Loss (Overall) – Loss of $379.30 to a $10 Stake
On to this week’s event.
The Farmers Insurance Open takes place this week, with Torrey Pines hosting the unofficial start of the year and the continuation of the West Coast Swing. Torrey North has become much more difficult since the refurbishment, and Torrey South is already brutal. So it’ll have a different vibe than last week.
Jon Rahm, Dustin Johnson, Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele, Bryson DeChambeau, Hideki Matsuyama, Sam Burns, Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, Tony Finau, Brooks Koepka, Daniel Berger, Sungjae Im, and defending champion Patrick Reed are among the stars who have been drawn to the classic Torrey Pines course on the Pacific coast.
The Farmers Insurance Open is held on Torrey Pines’ South and North courses. The newly lengthened 7,765 yards South Course, which Rees Jones renovated before last year’s U.S. Open, hosts three rounds in total, with each entrant also playing 18 holes on either Thursday or Friday on the North Course.
The world-famous South Course, which extends over the Pacific Ocean and is the longest course on the PGA Tour, is a classic design. Scoring is made even more difficult by penal rough, specialized Kikuyugrass fairways and green complex designs that reject approach shots.
The North Course, which Tom Weiskopf renovated before the 2017 renewal, is a relatively short Par 72 that favors low scoring, which can be crucial in tournament play. In addition, the South Course has Poa Annua greens, whereas the North Course has pure Bentgrass greens, which adds to the intricacy.
The Farmers Insurance Open is set to take place this week in perfect weather. At 17-21 degrees Celsius, temperatures will be warmer than we are used to. Winds are expected to be mild, with no gusts over ten mph scheduled over the next four days, while the rain has been scarce in the area for several weeks, with no rain projected. So I’m anticipating fast fairways and ideal soil conditions. Only time will tell if this implies firm greens by the weekend.
On to our picks for this year…
Justin Thomas +1200
The world number six has been in sparkling form this season and has placed third, fifth and fifth in his last three events. Surprisingly Thomas has only played this tournament twice, and although he must the cut last time out, he did place tenth in his first attempt. He’s a fine all-around golfer, which is backed up by the fact that he ranks second on Tour from tee to green this season. He can even play in the sand as he has the fourth-highest sand save percentage on Tour. Therefore, it’s not a surprise to see that he has the highest birdie average of any player. All of this has led him to have the best scoring average this season, meaning you cannot ignore him this week. Thomas has also made the cut in his last 11 events, the fourth-longest streak on Tour.
Top 10 Finish
Matthew Wolff +400
Although Wolff let us down last week by missing the cut, I will stick with him and give him another shot this week. The young Californian is still having a fantastic season despite the minor blip in the road last week as he has two top-five finishes from five starts. He withdrew from this event last year and will be out to prove a point, especially after last week’s poor showing. Just like a wolf, he can sniff out anything around the green and certainly knows how to hole out. Despite his misfortunes of last week, he still has the fourth-best scoring average on Tour, showing how well he has been playing. He can hit the ball a long way which will serve him well, especially on the South course. Lastly, this can sometimes come down to putting, and he has now played 159 holes without a 3-putt to his name, which again highlights that he knows how to tidy up a hole.
Top 20 Finish
Joseph Bramlett +500
Bramlett is another Californian that can hit the ball a long way. After a poor start to the season, his form has started to pick up, and if he can keep on the straight and narrow, he could have a good week. He tied 18th here last season, proving he can make the top 20 around here. He has also played his last six holes under par which is the second-longest streak on Tour. Hopefully, he can bring that form here and hit the ground running this week.
My name is Dean, AKA The Stat Man. I am a Sports Betting Analyst who uses math, algorithms, probability and logic to create my posts. I specialize in many sports, with Golf being the primary focus. You can find a lot of my work on various websites but the best content is found here on Beer Life.
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