The Professor does not study college tape, so these bets are more about gathering the market consensus on players from various draft analysts and comparing that to the odds at the sportsbooks, as opposed to using my personal evaluations to make projections. With that framework in place, let's look at some of the key draft positions, and the selections that could create a betting edge. For details on The Professor's draft needs for each team, check out his AFC and NFC breakdowns.
We're not even at the draft yet, but free agency has already set the table for the 2022 season. Sure, there's pieces left to fall into place, but we already know where this is going. Like being 5 minutes into a Fast and Furious movie.
The latest NFL shakeup on the AFC side came when Miami traded receiver DeVante Parker to New England after acquiring a surplus of receivers this offseason, a reminder that there could be more moves to come before the NFL draft, but with the free agency market down to older veterans who could wait until after the NFL Draft to sign with a team, rosters are about as set as they will get before the league's annual selection ceremony.
The latest NFL shakeup on the NFC side came when Tampa Bay announced that head coach Bruce Arians will move into a front-office role and that defensive coordinator Todd Bowles will step into the top job, a reminder that there could be more moves to come before the NFL draft, but with the free agency market down to older veterans who could wait until after the NFL Draft to sign with a team, rosters are about as set as they will get before the league's annual selection ceremony.
Never a dull moment in the NFL. Except when the Jets play. This week the excitement is about a new tweak to the overtime rules that means both teams will get the ball at least once. But just in the playoffs, let's not get crazy. The owners love change almost as much as you love Daylight Savings Time.
Things got a little awkward when the Falcons jumped into the Deshaun Watson sweepstakes, huh? They didn't get him (because the Browns panicked and offered him a trillion dollars in gemstones and Dogecoin), but you can't go back to your wife after trying to run away with a hot cheerleader, who then ditches you at the airport.
The Green Bay Packers aptly stole the day on St. Patrick's Day, shipping star receiver Davante Adams to the Las Vegas Raiders, who promptly signed Adams to a contract that makes him the NFL's highest-paid player as the first week of free agency draws to a close.
The NFL is a wild, wild world! We got a taste, a preamble if you would, of the action to come last week with Aaron Rodgers returning to Green Bay, Russell Wilson heading to Denver, and Indianapolis dealing Carson Wentz to Washington. With the legal tampering officially underway, fantasy implications abound around the league. Let's dive in!
Of course Tom Brady came back. I told you he was going to a few weeks ago, but you thought I'd just gotten into the model airplane glue again.
Deshaun Watson has been in limbo for most of the past year, but the latest development in his off-field saga appears to clear the way for the Texans to trade the former face of their franchise. Of course, it is the 2022 NFL offseason, so the Watson news was not the biggest development of the weekend, as Tom Brady announced on Sunday that he will return to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Brady's return dramatically shifts the landscape of the NFC South and the NFL as a whole; he may be approaching 45 on paper, but the David Sinclairs of the world will tell you that aging in reverse is a very real possibility, and Brady hasn't shown an on-field decline, so it seems reasonable to expect more brilliance in 2022. This article looks at the NFL landscape with Brady back, as well as Watson's trade prospects. Division odds are from DraftKings and FanDuel.