Recap of last weeks bets
|Outright Winner||Rory McIlroy||Lost|
|Top 10 Finish||Sam Burns||Lost|
|Top Asian Player||Si Woo Kim||Lost|
|Hole In One||Yes||Lost|
Profit/Loss (This week) – Loss of $40 to a $10 Stake
Profit/Loss (Overall) – Loss of $165 to a $10 Stake
On to this week’s event.
The BMW Championship, formerly known as the Western Open, is the second-oldest golf tournament in the United States. The BMW Championship is organized by the Western Golf Association, which originated and conducted the Western Open. Following the end of The Northern Trust, the Top 70 PGA Tour golfers compete in the BMW Championship. There is no cut after two rounds because it is a reduced field tournament.
The top-30 finishers in the BMW Championship will advance to the season-ending Tour Championship, where the FedEx Cup and a $15 million reward will be awarded to the champion. Bubba Watson (81), Adam Scott (90), and Jason Day (114) are among the notable players who failed to qualify for the BMW, with 2021 PGA Champion Phil Mickelson narrowly qualifying.
Caves Valley Golf Club first opened its doors to the public in 1991. Tom Fazio, a renowned golf course architect, constructed the 7,226 yards Par 71 course. The 962 acres of rolling hills, pastures, woodlands, and marshes that make up the course create a beautiful landscape. Each hole is tailored to the surrounding environment. The course previously hosted the US Senior Open in 2002, when Don Pooley defeated Tom Watson in a five-hole playoff. It was also the site of Scott McCarron’s victory in the 2017 Senior PLAYERS Championship.
The BMW Championship is Caves Valley’s first PGA Tour tournament this year. Fast greens, rolling fairways, and water hazards characterize Caves Valley. Some improvements to the course were made to test the current professional. To add distance, new tee boxes were built, and the rough was improved to increase difficulty. Upgrades to the irrigation system were also made, as well as the restoration of old bunkers and the addition of some new ones.
On to our picks for this year…
Shane Lowry +4500
Shane Lowry has been slowly gathering momentum towards the season’s climax after finishing 12th, 22nd, 23rd, and 11th in his previous four tournaments. He needs another good week here to advance to the Tour final next week as he currently finds himself in 47th in the FedEx standings. He’s not the best player off the tee, but this shouldn’t be much of a factor this week as the rough is minimal and shouldn’t have too much of an effect. When you look at all of his stats this season, they don’t read great, so how has he done as well as he has this season? I put it down to mental strength and playing the big moments well, which is why he will need this week if he wants to play in next week’s finale. Lowry is the epitome of consistency which is backed up by the fact he has not missed a cut in his previous 12 appearances.
Top 5 Finish
Patrick Cantlay +550
Cantlay was the long-time FedEx standings leader this season, and he still sits in an excellent fourth spot, behind the top three at the Northern Trust. If you disregard his performance at the Open, his form reads 23rd, 1st, 15th, 13th, 23rd, and 11th. Therefore, it is easy to see why he has led the standings this season. Patrick has finished inside the top five four times this season, making him a fantastic prospect for this bet. He finished a respectable 12th in this event last year and claimed the second spot the year before. His play in and around the green is second to none, which could be crucial because this course has some tiny greens.
Will There Be A Playoff
There seems to be a playoff nearly every other week on the PGA Tour. Now that the field is filtered down to the top 69 players in the world, things should be even tighter, which makes this bet an attractive proposition.
My name is Dean, AKA The Stat Man. I am a Sports Betting Analyst who uses math, algorithms, probability and logic to create my posts. I specialize in many sports, with Golf being the primary focus. You can find a lot of my work on various websites but the best content is found here on Beer Life.
I live in the UK, on the outskirts of London but my background and heritage is Irish. I'm an avid Manchester United fan who sees following them as a religion. Sport is pretty much my life, as I live and breathe it daily. If there is something I don't know it's probably not worth knowing as I have over 20 years industry experience and insight.
I would love to hear from my followers so drop me a message on the comments section and I will be sure to respond.
As always, believe in the power of statistics!