Another week, another event on the PGA Tour. This week the golfing elite will gather at Sedgefield Country Club, where 2020 winner Jim Herman, who will compete alongside six other previous winners of this event, looks to defend his title in the Wyndham Championship, which is the final regular event of the season before the FedEx Cup play-offs.
Before we dive into this week’s action, let’s recap last week. It was a good week all around for the fantasy team, with every player scoring well, so much so that the lowest finishing position in the team was T15. For the third time this season, the team provided the tournament winner, as Mr Reliable Abraham Ancer, who went in as a sleeper, swooped late in the day to claim a victory that has been coming for some time.
Must-have picks Dustin Johnson and Webb Simpson rewarded draft players with plenty of points, as the T10 and T15 respectively, while both values play scored no shortage of points either. Daniel Berger played his way superbly to a fourth-place finish, carding four rounds of 67 or less. Having got himself into a position to really attack the lead, Scottie Scheffler was disappointing on the final day, shooting 74 but his cards contained no shortage of birdies during the week, so he still put points of the board for fantasy players. Lastly, Ian Poulter, who competed in the line-up, also performed admirably, finishing in a tie for tenth.
After a busy schedule, many of the top players aren’t in action this week, so there’s an opportunity for someone less used to challenging for the lead to earn themselves a moment of glory. Following an agonising playoff loss last week, Sam Burns, who has won on the PGA Tour this season, takes his place in Greensboro, as does Masters champion Hideki Matsuyama, who joined Burns as a loser in that play-off at TPC Southwind. Other high-profile inclusions are Webb Simpson, Bubba Watson, Will Zalatoris and Matt Wolff. 2014 winner of this event Camillo Vegas will tee it up at Sedgefield Country Club, as will K.J. Choi, Patrick Reed, Brandt Snedeker, and Si Woo Kim, all of whom have won here in the past. Louis Oosthuizen, who is no the world number seven, is the highest ranked player in the event.
Sedgefield Country Club
Greensboro, North Carolina
Hosting the Wyndham Championship is Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, North Carolina. Designed by Donald Ross, Sedgefield presents players with the opportunity to go low in terms of score. Distance off the tee is particularly relevant at this place, but accuracy is, so players capable of strategically plotting their way round tend to thrive.
If you can get the ball in good positions and have dialled in approach play, then low scores are certainly achievable. Each of the last four winners has walked off the course on Sunday evening with a winning score of -21 or -22. Low scores are there to be had, but the emphasis will very much be on accurate approach play. Last year’s winner Jim Herman finished fourth for strokes gained: approach at the end of the week, while the three winners before him finished third, first and third in that category. Hitting greens in regulation is key, as Herman showed us all last year, finishing the week in first for GIR. 2019 winner J.T. Poston was also the best player in the event in terms of GIR, so be on the lookout for players who make a habit of hitting no shortage of greens in regulation.
Key stats for Wyndham Championship
Approach play has always been massively important here and it will be again. It’s not a course where distance off the tee matters much, you don’t need to be long, but accuracy with the driver certainly helps players to gain the optimum position ahead of approach. Three of the last five winners of this tournament ranked inside the top eight for driving accuracy at the end of the week, while the last two were inside the top five in that department.
Some key stats for this venue have been highlighted below, followed by the top ten (from this field) in those areas.
Note: for strokes gained categories, only players who’ve played at least four rounds at Sedgefield Country Club are included. The following top ten in the strokes-gained categories are for this venue only. For GIR and Driving Accuracy, the top ten is how the players in this field rank in that area on the PGA Tour overall.
Strokes gained: approach (at this venue last five seasons): Jim Herman, Zach Johnson, Matthew Wolff, Si-Woo Kim, Talor Gooch, Kris Ventura, Hideki Matsuyama, Chris Baker, Mark Hubbard, Ryan Armour.
Strokes gained: tee-to-green (at this venue last five seasons): Jim Herman, Hideki Matsuyama, Si-Woo Kim, Doug Khim, Chris Baker, Sungjae Im, Will Gordon, Webb Simpson, Doc Redman, Ryan Moore.
Greens in Regulation: Cameron Percy, Mathew NeSmith, Michael Gellerman, Russel Knox, Doug Ghim, Aaron Wise, Kyle Stanley, Russell Henley, Hank Leboida, Henrik Norlander.
Driving Accuracy: Brendan Todd, Brian Stuard, Ryan Armour, Ryan Moore, Chez Reavie, Brice Garnett, J.J. Spaun, Sungjae Im, Martin Laird, Michael Thompson.
|Odds To Win +1200|
|Draft Kings $10,600|
|For the second week running Webb Simpson goes in as a must-have play. He didn’t quite hit the level required last week, but he certainly played his way into form on the final day, finishing strongly with a six-under 64, while he now returns to a venue that he loves.|
The North Carolina man doesn’t just know this place well, he knows how to win here, while he’s gone close several times too, finishing inside the top five in each of the last four renewals, earning three other top tens and a win prior to that. Such form is hard to ignore. Among this field, he’s also the man, of those to have played the event three times or more, with the lowest average score on this track.
Only three players in the field rank better in terms of strokes gained: total here in the last five seasons, while his record at Sedgefield Country Club is unmatched. As was the case last week, the 36-year-old must go in.
|Odds To Win +3000|
|Draft Kings $9,600|
|Sungjae Im hasn’t turned too many heads with his recent performances, but he’s played steadily, making six cuts on the bounce. What’s more, there are lots to like about his two previous efforts in this tournament. In 2019 he finished sixth, and he finished ninth last year.|
In eight previous rounds here, Im posted some hugely encouraging strokes gained numbers, ranking seventh in this field in terms of strokes gained: tee-to-green, as well as third for strokes gained: total. With an average fairway percentage of 68.83%, the South Korean also ranks highly in this field in terms of driving accuracy. Such a trait helped him to a top ten finish twelve months ago, and it can do again.
|Odds To Win +4000|
|Draft Kings $9,100|
|Sticking with the South Koreans, Si-Woo Kim is another player that ought to relish the test presented by Sedgefield Country Club. Fifth for strokes gained: approach here in the last five years, Kim knows how to position himself around this course, which is why he walked away as the winner in 2016, and why he’s finished inside the top five in each of the last two seasons.|
Another with lots of course form in the book, the 26-year-old from Seoul offers fantasy players excellent value at a shade over $9,000.
|Odds To Win +5000|
|Draft Kings $8,400|
|Another player with course form is Kevin Kisner, who has finished inside the top ten in three of his last four appearances at the Wyndham Championship, finishing in third place last year.|
Seventh overall for strokes gained: total at this venue, Kisner is another of the accurate drivers in the field, which should help him to get going this week. With a fairway percentage of 67.89 on the PGA Tour this season, the South Carolina man ranks 12th in this field for driving accuracy, which shouldn’t be overlooked.
What’s also eye-catching is his putting. Kisner is something of a wizard with the flat stick, and of the top ten players in terms of strokes gained: total in this field, he ranks number three for strokes gained: putting. Fantasy players should take note and bolster their team with such a player.
|Odds To Win +7000|
|Draft Kings $7,000|
|It was a sleeper that got the win last week, and first up in this category this time out is Ryan Armour, who for several reasons, looks generously priced at just $7000 (DraftKings).|
One of the most accurate drivers on tour, the 45-year-old clearly knows how to plot his way around her, as he’s finished T4, T8, T22 and T25 in his last five appearances in this competition. Such efforts mean that he ranks well in most of the strokes gained categories, while he’s the fifth-best in this field in terms of strokes gained: total at this venue. On that basis alone, Armour looks like a bargain in the draft this week.
|Odds to Win +8000|
|Draft Kings $7,500|
|The second sleeper and final pick another Ryan in the form of Ryan Moore, who having not won since 2016 is very much a sleeper, but there’s been signs that he may just be waking up in recent weeks, especially when he finished in a tie for second at the John Deere Classic a month ago.|
Like Armour, Ryan Moore is one of the most accurate off the tee right now. In fact, with a fairway percentage of 73.04%, he’s the fourth best in terms of driving accuracy on the PGA Tour. He’s also played well at this venue in the past, winning the event back in 2008. That was of course a long time ago, but he finished sixth here in 2018, while he’s up there in tenth in this field when it comes to the critically important strokes gained: approach, so don’t be surprised if he outplays his price-tag in Greensboro this week.
UK based freelance sports betting writer. Specializing in golf and soccer, Bradley has written for numerous websites and publications both in the UK and abroad, covering a range of sports betting topics from match/event previews to betting guides.