Setting the scene
The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am is the next stop on the PGA Tour’s 2022 calendar, and after two weeks of multi-course rotation, the California coast will host three separate courses once again. The bulk of the world’s top ten golfers is either playing in the Saudi International this week or opting out of a pro-am event that features three separate courses and provides some of the year’s most extended rounds of golf.
The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am this week will reintroduce Monterey Peninsula, which was eliminated from the equation in 2021, as well as Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill. After three rounds, the 156-man field will be reduced to 60, with one more round taking place on Sunday at Pebble Beach.
Although Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm will not be in attendance this week, there will be plenty of notable faces to witness if you aren’t worried about a tournament’s field strength. Josh Allen, Steve Young, Bill Murray, Josh Duhamel, Ray Romano, and Jake Owen are just a handful of the celebs who will be playing golf at Pebble Beach in 2022.
Betting Angles
Short Game
The most important statistics to succeed on the leaderboard at Pebble Beach are iron play and putting. Given the layout of the golf course, this makes sense. Players aren’t required to retrieve the driver from the bag too often. Instead, the smartest move is to lie back with a fairway metal or iron on several Par 4s. That’s also why driving accuracy isn’t seen as a highly connected statistic.
Putting
The greens are Poa Annua, as they were last week at Torrey Pines. It’s a complex surface to putt on, and the evidence backs it up. Pebble Beach had the 5th most difficult greens to putt on last year, slightly behind Torrey Pines. The Poa Annua is to blame. Having both experience and confidence when putting on this surface is a significant advantage.
Scrambling
Because the greens are so small, you’ll need to be an excellent scrambler to get around them.
Approach Play
Last year, 44.1% of all approach shots were taken from less than 150 yards, 25.9% between 150-200 yards, and 30% from over 200 yards. So while there is an emphasis on wedge play at Pebble Beach, it isn’t on all courses.
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Par Five Play
Players will have to make birdies on the Par 5's when they can, with the winning score approaching the upper teens under par.
Horses for courses
The tournament has been going on since 1937, with Pebble Beach getting involved a decade later. Pebble Beach has hosted this event 74 times, with Spyglass Hill being the second most popular venue in the competition's history. Spyglass, which first aired in 1967, will be making its 54th appearance this week. In addition, the Monterey Peninsula Shore Course will be utilized for the 14th time after not being used between 1977 and 2010.
Host course Pebble Beach has some of the most petite greens in professional golf. This picturesque public golf course, which first opened for commerce in 1919, hugs the Pacific coast about 125 miles south of San Francisco.
Spyglass Hill, which opened to the public in March 1966, has a reputation for being one of the most challenging layouts on the PGA Tour calendar. Even though water only appears on three holes, there are plenty of challenging doglegs and tree-lined fairways to contend with. In addition, Spyglass, unlike Pebble Beach, is primarily an inland layout that does not meander too close to the Pacific Ocean.
The Shore Course, which opened just over 60 years ago, was completely rebuilt in 2003 and 2004, with Mike Strantz designing 12 new holes and remodeling the old six. As a result, its putting surfaces are slightly larger than usual Tour greens, making them larger than those at Pebble Beach. Poa Annua greens can be found in all three courses.
The scoring average at Spyglass is normally higher than at the other two locations, although both Pebble Beach and Monterey's Shore Course provide views of the Pacific. The ocean offers a hazard on nine holes at Pebble Beach, with the degree of difficulty being determined by weather and wind direction, which can alter dramatically at any time. On the Shore Course, the water barely comes into play on a few holes. However, there are a few tricky doglegs to navigate.
Where’s the money?
Let’s now look at the betting for the week ahead:
Patrick Cantlay +700
Daniel Berger +1400
Will Zalatoris +1600
Jason Day +2000
Jordan Spieth +2000
Justin Rose +2800
Maverick McNealy +2800
Seamus Power +2800
Cameron Tringale +2800
Matt Fitzpatrick +3000
Kevin Streelman +3500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +4000
Mito Pereira +4000
Brian Harman +4000
Ryan Palmer +4000
Denny McCarthy +4000
Kevin Kisner +4000
Matt Kuchar +5000
Tom Hoge +5000
Min Woo Lee +5000
Lanto Griffin +5000
Matt Jones +5000
Andrew Putnam +6600
Lucas Glover +6600
Michael Thompson +6600
Charley Hoffman +6600
Nick Taylor +6600
Dean Burmester +6600
MacKenzie Hughes +6600
Chris Kirk +6600
Russell Knox +7000
Cameron Champ +8000
Adam Hadwin +8000
Troy Merritt +8000
Chez Reavie +8000
Aaron Rai +8000
Joel Dahmen +8000
Brendon Todd +8000
Patrick Rodgers +8000
Brandt Snedeker +8000
Alex Smalley +10000
Stewart Cink +10000
Matthias Schwab +10000
Sahith Theegala +10000
Matthew NeSmith +10000
Brandon Harkins +10000
Scott Stallings +10000
Pat Perez +10000
Taylor Moore +10000
Keith Mitchell +10000
Chad Ramey +12500
Vincent Whaley +12500
Taylor Penrith +12500
Wyndham Clark +12500
Joseph Bramlett +15000
Scott Piercy +15000
Hayden Buckley +15000
Kevin Chappell +15000
Kyle Stanley +15000
Ryan Armour +15000
Vaughn Taylor +15000
Davis Riley +15000
Adam Svensson +15000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +15000
Ryan Moore +15000
Greyson Sigg +15000
Doc Redman +15000
Charl Schwartzel +15000
Dylan Frittelli +15000
J.J. Spaun +15000
Cameron Percy +15000
Brian Gay +15000
Aaron Baddeley +20000
Lee Hodges +20000
James Hahn +20000
Austin Eckroat +20000
Stephan Jaeger +20000
David Lipsky +20000
Nick Hardy +20000
Andrew Landry +20000
Mark Hubbard +20000
Camilo Villegas +20000
Nate Lashley +20000
Tyler Duncan +25000
Satoshi Kodaira +25000
Dylan Wu +25000
Paul Barjon +25000
Brian Stuard +25000
Jimmy Walker +25000
Beau Hossler +25000
Chase Seiffert +25000
Tyler McCumber +25000
Bo Hoag +25000
Trey Mullinax +25000
John Huh +25000
Peter Uihlein +25000
Peter Malnati +25000
Hey Guys
My name is Dean, AKA The Stat Man. I am a Sports Betting Analyst who uses math, algorithms, probability and logic to create my posts. I specialize in many sports, with Golf being the primary focus. You can find a lot of my work on various websites but the best content is found here on Beer Life.
I live in the UK, on the outskirts of London but my background and heritage is Irish. I'm an avid Manchester United fan who sees following them as a religion. Sport is pretty much my life, as I live and breathe it daily. If there is something I don't know it's probably not worth knowing as I have over 20 years industry experience and insight.
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